TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc0b2…9d96

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 56 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.75
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.16
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$1,131.29
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.68
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$849Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$477.72
Will Craig Federighi be the next CEO of Apple?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$604Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$160.44
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$469.04
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.63
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$106.08
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$261.74
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.39
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$505.42
Will "Apple TV" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$43.12
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.45 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$394.74
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $700b on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$90.2
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+212.5%+$267.92
All 16 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.34
Will "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Best Action Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.08
Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$20.58
Will "Sentimental Value" win no awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.67
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$406.08
Will Kylie Jenner attend the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$112.14
Will "One Battle After Another" win Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture at the 32nd Actor Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+33.3%+$19
Will "Sinners" win Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture at the 32nd Actor Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+49.3%+$44.22
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+170.3%+$168.84
Will The Traitors win Best Producer of Game & Competition TV at the 37th PGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$218.66
Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.7%+$19.44
Will "Wuthering Heights" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 18m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+31.6%+$25.2
Will "2000 Meters To Andriivka" win Best Documentary at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$42.64
Will Liz Patrick - SNL50: The Anniversary Special win Best Director of Variety at the 78th DGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$86.02
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+62.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$138
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.3
Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.15
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.5
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$298.32
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$59.69
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+614.3%+$238.22
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+79.7%+$351.75
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$289.1
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$271.89
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$707Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$707.2
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$68.97
All 13 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.22
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.85
Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.54
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$418.95
Will Tisza win at least 90 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.8
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.48
Will Keir Starmer say "Denmark" or "Greenland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25.96
Will Keir Starmer say "Reform" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+455.6%+$145.96
Will Keir Starmer say "Ally" or "Allied" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$77.12
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+37.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-38.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+100%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-65.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+177.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.75per pick26cpaid+311.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$83.79
Will Racing Club win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$53.38
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$102
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.37
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$929Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$928.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "Eye poke" during Strickland vs. Hernandez?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$80.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$404.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.