Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5da2b242fa45ffdff0b6c66cb51a040389bac12792d7cdceb552e7c08147e620
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 68c | 3,538$2,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,421.55 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16a0…72f1backed Yes | 12c | 1,681$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +134.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…b3b3backed No | 28c | 1,453$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed Yes | 12c | 1,325$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 39c | 1,325$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.42 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…c83bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,234$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 14cpaid | +353.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 29c | 862.07$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.21 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…bb9cbacked Yes | 12c | 824$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a84…f8a5backed Yes | 12c | 775$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +325.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…8598backed Yes | 12c | 768$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…88f0backed Yes | 12c | 753$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ba…e6cebacked Yes | 12c | 621$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 23cpaid | +248.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8acf…2f7bbacked Yes | 12c | 519$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbc…d620backed Yes | 12c | 505$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…ac57backed Yes | 12c | 495$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +124.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6813…39e6backed Yes | 12c | 482$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 21c | 478.65$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.36 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…44c2backed Yes | 12c | 421$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +265.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b2…9d96backed Yes | 12c | 402$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 72c | 386.69$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.27 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed Yes | 12c | 377$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +291.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…a617backed Yes | 14c | 341$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…d14dbacked Yes | 12c | 339$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +153.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…23c3backed Yes | 12c | 295$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +168.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…7d8abacked Yes | 12c | 262$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 29c | 235.37$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.78 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked No | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 15c | 210.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.3 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 28c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…08d2backed Yes | 14c | 188$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +233%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 29c | 153.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4913…d01bbacked Yes | 76c | 150.63$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 12c | 135.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.95 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…3d82backed No | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…37a1backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…1b3fbacked Yes | 71c | 90.68$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed No | 13c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 54c | 88.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 32c | 66.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 76c | 66.35$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39d…2c58backed Yes | 41c | 50.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 27c | 48.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…3bd4backed Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 77c | 21.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 69c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?No won
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.