Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x144629887bd492c9cf8728fbb6a90cbb17465cd03e9155067677b87f9b1c24af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac2…7b23backed Yes | 5c | 5,500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…dd5fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,317$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7534…d51bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,191$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa27…d1d3backed Yes | 11c | 1,167$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cc…7ae5backed Yes | 11c | 1,127$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed Yes | 11c | 1,055$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 27cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c19…77cdbacked Yes | 11c | 1,024$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x381c…dae1backed Yes | 11c | 862$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead6…911fbacked Yes | 11c | 843$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…293cbacked Yes | 11c | 788$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +81%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…c454backed Yes | 11c | 781$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc351…08f7backed Yes | 11c | 707$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 7c | 615.84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16a0…72f1backed Yes | 11c | 556$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +134.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…bd71backed Yes | 11c | 553$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Yes | 11c | 549.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x385f…3c30backed Yes | 11c | 512$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c5…b4e1backed Yes | 11c | 501$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf06d…db77backed Yes | 11c | 499$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 24cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…ba85backed Yes | 11c | 473$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc911…fa2bbacked Yes | 11c | 473$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf074…9164backed Yes | 13c | 461.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…56e8backed Yes | 11c | 426$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ae…e13abacked Yes | 11c | 418$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…f658backed Yes | 12c | 314$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70e7…4a70backed Yes | 11c | 281$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed Yes | 11c | 274$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…19bebacked Yes | 11c | 261$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04da…dc10backed Yes | 11c | 254$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 71c | 224.59$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.05 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef37…f2bcbacked Yes | 12c | 202$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +145.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…be80backed Yes | 11c | 191.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb6…5ea0backed Yes | 11c | 187$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…a5b8backed Yes | 11c | 163$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 14c | 159.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…8cc1backed Yes | 11c | 122$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 9c | 119.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…e065backed Yes | 11c | 111$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c3…9cefbacked Yes | 11c | 108$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ad…499dbacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 50c | 105.29$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…b0a5backed Yes | 15c | 102.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8989…54a8backed Yes | 50c | 100.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 18c | 83.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfe…2fd8backed Yes | 38c | 79.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f3…080bbacked Yes | 39c | 56.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 41c | 49.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 43c | 48.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3af0…4bd4backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?this page
- Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?No won
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.