Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24fb7c2d95c93a68018e6c4a90d88043bb67d32fd1454924cef8ebdd550228f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,702,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,702,553 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 4,295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d05…6320backed No | 0c | 5,978,894$8,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,008.72 | 104 | 17.3%18 W · 86 L | -13.7wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed No | 0c | 4,149,494$5,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,298.07 | 35 | 0%0 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…40b5backed No | 0c | 2,287,255$3,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,034.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a41…242abacked No | 1c | 1,420,031$7,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,912.7 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c5…4adfbacked No | 0c | 1,279,650$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab5…35f5backed No | 0c | 1,135,034$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf09…074fbacked No | 0c | 1,056,436$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb245…48d0backed No | 0c | 1,000,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5255…d94abacked No | 0c | 997,990$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb3…8a1dbacked No | 0c | 779,195$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…c7d4backed No | 0c | 718,985$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…5ca6backed No | 0c | 706,215$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe215…d013backed No | 0c | 600,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f21…0041backed No | 0c | 581,000$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…2b64backed No | 0c | 502,231$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.06 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa879…fb61backed No | 0c | 500,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc1…75bbbacked No | 0c | 500,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e75…82ccbacked No | 0c | 500,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b49…5dd4backed No | 0c | 484,880$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c3…c3a5backed No | 0c | 479,030$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe0…05f8backed No | 0c | 404,504$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f4…9764backed No | 0c | 378,568$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…db01backed No | 0c | 336,332$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…59a1backed No | 0c | 322,608$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5e…9245backed No | 0c | 322,175$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6556…26d6backed No | 1c | 311,844$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…f913backed No | 0c | 308,620$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6794…7fe9backed No | 0c | 308,000$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042b…885cbacked No | 0c | 300,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…883abacked No | 0c | 279,019$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.37 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f7…9057backed No | 0c | 278,700$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c9…cd8bbacked No | 1c | 276,633$2,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbca…0c2bbacked No | 0c | 270,080$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a5…eb4abacked No | 0c | 260,330$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e04…aee8backed No | 0c | 250,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…29ecbacked No | 0c | 242,840$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed No | 28c | 238,747$67,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,161.57 | 148 | 21.6%32 W · 116 L | -24.5wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…8380backed No | 0c | 230,381$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x608f…9adfbacked No | 0c | 227,093$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e4…1960backed No | 0c | 225,155$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d57…749bbacked No | 0c | 223,480$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a79…3d27backed No | 0c | 222,000$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…f2d9backed No | 0c | 220,910$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.91 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…6812backed No | 0c | 216,387$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf815…6cfabacked No | 0c | 216,000$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c6…e43abacked No | 0c | 215,077$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…8f36backed No | 0c | 214,997$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddd…67a1backed No | 0c | 214,700$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x266f…9f85backed No | 0c | 213,499$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +130.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x731c…637dbacked No | 0c | 211,150$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.35 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…0af0backed No | 0c | 211,000$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…2eebbacked No | 0c | 210,500$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28b…259fbacked No | 0c | 210,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed63…75acbacked No | 0c | 202,626$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8af…c7efbacked No | 1c | 201,379$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe364…4b24backed No | 0c | 200,660$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.66 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bf…a509backed No | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f1…198fbacked No | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…2f54backed No | 0c | 199,500$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1639…78cabacked No | 0c | 199,010$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x449d…86ccbacked No | 0c | 192,820$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfa…384cbacked No | 0c | 192,000$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca5d…6ed9backed No | 0c | 190,112$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4879…e54abacked No | 0c | 188,373$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbf…d2dbbacked No | 0c | 185,000$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…0dbebacked No | 0c | 185,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb50a…b0ddbacked No | 0c | 184,520$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce9…fbe4backed No | 0c | 179,000$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f96…0524backed No | 0c | 178,974$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…ee19backed No | 0c | 170,007$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2d…ab45backed No | 0c | 170,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…5e51backed No | 0c | 159,546$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 20c | 158,212$31,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,449.19 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa7…2e3cbacked No | 1c | 154,544$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -69%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc37…0ad5backed No | 0c | 154,180$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b1…5bcbbacked No | 0c | 153,333$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…a52dbacked No | 0c | 150,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.49per pick | 8cpaid | +401.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ae…bb7fbacked No | 1c | 148,547$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b3…5acbbacked No | 0c | 146,502$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87b7…fd47backed No | 0c | 146,147$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed3…c43fbacked No | 0c | 142,470$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.79 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebf…b119backed No | 0c | 142,006$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…f337backed No | 0c | 140,550$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15eb…530abacked No | 1c | 139,121$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…9b75backed No | 1c | 135,786$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.61 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f21…6c7bbacked No | 0c | 131,700$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf34f…4d6ebacked No | 0c | 129,300$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.66 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d90…2d74backed No | 0c | 127,305$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7729…674cbacked No | 0c | 125,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb8…3f3abacked No | 0c | 125,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d78…59f3backed No | 0c | 123,000$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e23…bcc8backed No | 0c | 122,576$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…af79backed No | 0c | 120,960$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…4410backed No | 0c | 120,610$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf81…0439backed No | 0c | 120,000$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.63per pick | 4cpaid | +1,611.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2224…0ce6backed No | 0c | 120,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd0…b136backed No | 0c | 118,310$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4f…f37abacked No | 0c | 118,180$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 24c | 117,821$28,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,049.61 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…14c8backed No | 1c | 116,104$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.