World Politics · resolved market
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18a6cd68c80f4838ed7916ef826f5cab501aba0c30588cf06c9a44fac018e84d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5a6…0a76backed No | 60c | 11,058$6,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,405.79 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 42c | 3,928$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.22 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…8e96backed No | 66c | 3,819$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed Yes | 4c | 3,594$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.36 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x171c…f0a0backed Yes | 60c | 2,665$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6071…e933backed Yes | 24c | 2,517$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.96 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5183…d4dabacked No | 30c | 2,015$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +235.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78b3…b95abacked No | 51c | 1,916$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.08 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…b327backed Yes | 3c | 1,754$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 60c | 1,509$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.47 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed No | 16c | 1,382$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.85 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Yes | 57c | 1,269$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8e…9be8backed No | 50c | 1,202$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a33…c087backed Yes | 65c | 1,144$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…d42ebacked Yes | 50c | 1,125$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6a…21c3backed Yes | 49c | 1,120$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bb…1da6backed Yes | 3c | 1,067$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 36c | 1,050$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.49 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…c2acbacked No | 28c | 998.78$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 72c | 867.42$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.09 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde45…8238backed Yes | 49c | 855$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b2…9d96backed No | 51c | 855$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.95 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de3…5753backed Yes | 68c | 851.49$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb593…28eabacked Yes | 55c | 788$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…6811backed No | 45c | 786$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…1796backed Yes | 55c | 730$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b16…1d14backed Yes | 8c | 667.16$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…e189backed Yes | 54c | 665.58$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.62 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 22c | 646.44$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.19 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed Yes | 32c | 638.98$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.18 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +6.8wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…0918backed Yes | 50c | 615$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…3796backed No | 51c | 605$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8271…1b26backed Yes | 4c | 604.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffa1…15bdbacked No | 45c | 601$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed72…81f5backed Yes | 68c | 600.5$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked Yes | 71c | 600$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked Yes | 71c | 600$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b8…ac4cbacked No | 51c | 577$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked Yes | 49c | 573$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.77 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd07…0058backed No | 50c | 567$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +168.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…0137backed No | 50c | 558$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb8…eea6backed Yes | 50c | 516$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 37c | 513.54$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.64 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2950…ffeabacked No | 51c | 511$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819d…6e9cbacked Yes | 56c | 489.28$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.12 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed Yes | 22c | 481.53$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.53 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b1…9643backed Yes | 64c | 470.15$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…d782backed Yes | 63c | 463.53$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa525…1e7bbacked Yes | 56c | 450.34$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.6 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…22cbbacked Yes | 10c | 418.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 67c | 418.37$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.02 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736b…8da6backed Yes | 46c | 409.66$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…4af7backed Yes | 57c | 401.24$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…d190backed No | 36c | 388$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.32 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12c2…aa71backed Yes | 64c | 388$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.32 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed No | 19c | 375.82$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.41 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +18.2wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4696…e741backed No | 29c | 345.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 48c | 324.59$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.14 | 141 | 26.2%37 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x631b…3d78backed Yes | 34c | 293.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92bd…6e99backed Yes | 46c | 282.73$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad82…1075backed Yes | 53c | 282.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 70c | 279.31$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.31 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e15…7ff5backed Yes | 69c | 263$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.47 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…c36fbacked Yes | 49c | 242.82$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa169…e440backed Yes | 62c | 211$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed No | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…e34bbacked No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…3caabacked No | 48c | 199$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.57 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbd…1288backed Yes | 48c | 185.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x225c…40dcbacked No | 41c | 180$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.49 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe26a…bdfabacked No | 60c | 175.55$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Yes | 58c | 171.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02b3…77b6backed No | 21c | 156.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.01 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac0…071ebacked Yes | 71c | 154.79$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a3…962fbacked Yes | 65c | 154.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0212…fee5backed Yes | 57c | 153.26$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 46c | 147.58$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.46 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab4…a62dbacked Yes | 70c | 143.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…7ddfbacked Yes | 70c | 141.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…7a45backed Yes | 55c | 141.38$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 32c | 132.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…f562backed No | 31c | 132$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…8598backed No | 45c | 131$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.05 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +150.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…d14dbacked No | 31c | 131$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.39 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 59c | 126.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b0…d650backed No | 51c | 126.28$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.66 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 42c | 117.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.09 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae65…c20bbacked Yes | 36c | 117.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…83c7backed Yes | 68c | 116.22$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5f1abacked No | 39c | 114.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +173.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1b…e75cbacked No | 42c | 102.6$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafdd…d424backed Yes | 71c | 100.04$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb44…d3d2backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.89 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…ca54backed No | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 32c | 98.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 168 | 34.5%58 W · 110 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…c88bbacked No | 65c | 97.14$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…cb87backed Yes | 43c | 93.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?this page
- Will Alliance for Rights and Freedoms (APS) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will Morality, Unity, Honour (MECh) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will Velichie (Velichie) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.