World Politics · resolved market
Will Morality, Unity, Honour (MECh) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5970954bf7b99cefbd32ffe4a8ecf483c2790f2e3f3e48b1c11a2c2718e58488
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 14c | 2,705$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.99 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…bd62backed Yes | 7c | 2,391$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.38 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…6c1ebacked No | 79c | 1,270$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.2 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,133$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.91 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…a6cbbacked Yes | 5c | 1,088$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 9c | 1,033$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.4 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c3…1a8abacked Yes | 15c | 922.68$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0212…fee5backed Yes | 17c | 852.59$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 8c | 850$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 16c | 643.73$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.13 | 141 | 26.2%37 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd515…8b66backed Yes | 17c | 577.19$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…c2acbacked No | 32c | 448$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1198…3ba5backed Yes | 18c | 444.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 26c | 418.11$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.99 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…5bbfbacked No | 63c | 417.74$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 43c | 379.68$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.12 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes | 13c | 369.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1c…94d3backed Yes | 18c | 315.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa2…55d3backed Yes | 21c | 287.38$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7e…c364backed Yes | 20c | 248.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1b…e75cbacked No | 78c | 241.97$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 46c | 208.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.42 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a33…051cbacked No | 57c | 203.51$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 18c | 185.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba2…eb93backed No | 79c | 181.18$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e5…485abacked Yes | 14c | 165.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 31c | 160$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 79c | 143.51$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…438cbacked Yes | 18c | 140$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +12.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 15c | 137.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 72 | 16.7%12 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 26c | 119.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 28c | 111$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92bd…6e99backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…a0fbbacked No | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Yes | 24c | 85.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…c40bbacked No | 79c | 85.83$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 14c | 84.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 87 | 16.1%14 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ff…91dcbacked Yes | 27c | 74.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ea…b603backed Yes | 68c | 70$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 70c | 63.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked Yes | 70c | 56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c03…4474backed Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05b…8df1backed No | 57c | 51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 56c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x508b…1262backed No | 72c | 41.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…ca54backed No | 60c | 38.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…68a1backed Yes | 40c | 38.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 42c | 35.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb2…376dbacked No | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 76cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 35c | 32.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…9b51backed Yes | 43c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes | 63c | 25.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…498dbacked No | 73c | 22.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe3…6580backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…e5babacked Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f2…25b0backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf711…d191backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b0…d650backed No | 56c | 18.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Morality, Unity, Honour (MECh) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?this page
- Will Alliance for Rights and Freedoms (APS) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will Velichie (Velichie) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.