World Politics · resolved market
Will Velichie (Velichie) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb05cb7526143304dbfef5dac572e636ca9cf0ab47228b20694fcddb34af9bcd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94e3…8443backed Yes | 9c | 6,216$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 9c | 4,649$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.08 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c97…7351backed Yes | 36c | 4,308$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda9e…ac09backed No | 50c | 2,798$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 5c | 2,475$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.08 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec9…b7c0backed Yes | 23c | 2,260$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 5c | 2,051$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7e…c364backed Yes | 16c | 1,420$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb23b…503fbacked Yes | 42c | 1,254$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.1 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa2…55d3backed Yes | 11c | 1,236$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…0cf1backed Yes | 6c | 1,050$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…c2acbacked No | 78c | 1,013$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 31c | 994$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.54 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb6…cfe8backed Yes | 15c | 981$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d7…8c45backed Yes | 15c | 947$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.05 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x788a…f8cebacked Yes | 24c | 945.87$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe26a…bdfabacked Yes | 11c | 939.65$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 4c | 928.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcc…8ef0backed No | 77c | 769$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +176.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 8c | 768.23$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.15 | 167 | 6.6%11 W · 156 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c2…aa71backed No | 77c | 750$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7238…e52dbacked No | 77c | 741$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +93%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed No | 49c | 714.31$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.2 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +18.2wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x55ec…3dabbacked Yes | 10c | 706.53$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…8e96backed Yes | 17c | 603.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…4304backed Yes | 66c | 550$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 20c | 462.52$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.38 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…1dddbacked Yes | 8c | 459.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa380…55e3backed Yes | 12c | 427.83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb6…6d5fbacked Yes | 15c | 348$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 54c | 300.49$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.27 | 168 | 34.5%58 W · 110 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 10c | 296.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 9c | 280.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…a6cbbacked Yes | 11c | 272.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 6c | 257.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 7c | 246.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 87 | 16.1%14 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 9c | 245$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 110 | 20.9%23 W · 87 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x819d…6e9cbacked Yes | 17c | 230.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 225.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a6…0a76backed No | 75c | 221.99$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 37c | 202.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.7 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +15.2wins | +0.28per pick | 31cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 64c | 200$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 9c | 196.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 11c | 178.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…6414backed Yes | 14c | 171.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa88b…976cbacked Yes | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 10c | 145$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Yes | 55c | 143.25$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.81 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da5…9c11backed Yes | 15c | 134.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0212…fee5backed Yes | 13c | 134.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ea…b603backed Yes | 60c | 130$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 74c | 115.63$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…be76backed Yes | 12c | 103$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf49…f632backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 13c | 94.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b3…77b6backed No | 54c | 94.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed No | 29c | 84.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 79c | 56.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 150 | 76%114 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9612…5e79backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf295…508fbacked Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…6a2abacked Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa382…d138backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 24c | 44.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 55 | 12.7%7 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…c88bbacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3311…c8a3backed Yes | 69c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b2…ac16backed No | 54c | 30.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e8…b3edbacked Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4e…f93abacked Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f3…5d04backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e9…0beabacked No | 53c | 19.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Velichie (Velichie) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?this page
- Will Alliance for Rights and Freedoms (APS) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will Morality, Unity, Honour (MECh) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.