TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3ec3…0cf1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
187
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Music, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Music at 56 out of 100; worst World Politics at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT7741.6%32 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+58.4%+$90.85
Will Burnley finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.08
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$92.57
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$498
Will Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$637Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$636.5
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.29
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.15
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.07
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$337.39
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$205.02
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+72.9%+$99.82
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+589.8%+$294.9
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$50.69
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$151
Will Port Vale FC win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+156.4%+$312.66
Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$63.64
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+46.8%+$47.31
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$162.08
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3020%6 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-55.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.45
Morocco to score first vs. France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.44
Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$213.16
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$89.21
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.62
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.46
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST2040%8 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FURIA win IEM Krakow 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+41.6%+$6.23
Will MOUZ win IEM Krakow 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+79.8%+$100.77
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$30.65
Will Aurora Gaming win IEM Krakow 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40.11
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50.95
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Krakow 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$61.18
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$225.03
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+290.4%+$100.75
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+73.7%+$18.43
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+138.3%+$115.18
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+156.4%+$31.28
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.5
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$210
UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Championbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+199.1%+$70.93
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Bodø/Glimt reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$108.43
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+88.9%+$177.82
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$134
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+140.3%+$163.54
Will PSV win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$179
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+143.9%+$143.9
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will PSV win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$85
All 20 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT140%0 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Velichie (Velichie) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will Revival (Vazrazhdane) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.75
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 5-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.95
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 15-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.61
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by at least 20%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.18
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 10-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.7
Will GERB-SDS win between 55-59 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will GERB-SDS win between 50-54 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win between 85-89 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.21
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win between 90-94 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win fewer than 75 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.95
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win between 75-79 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.93
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win between 80-84 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.84
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win 95 or more seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$360.65
All 14 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+146%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+508.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$45.24
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+927.3%+$619.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$511Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$210.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$172.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$388.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.