Premier League · resolved market
Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ae1acf59ffb7ef1e2ffbc2bc5866e9c5aeacc342068ba0686cf970b9f241d84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,130 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 22c | 13,830$2,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,980.46 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 42c | 6,084$2,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 57c | 4,405$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.21 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 60c | 2,506$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.28 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Yes | 47c | 2,133$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.46 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 52c | 1,307$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.16 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 60c | 1,081$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.75 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 33c | 910.61$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.15 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 32c | 498.4$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.8 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…d85abacked Yes | 59c | 437.85$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.52 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 46c | 374.21$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.85 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 53c | 299.96$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.98 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 80c | 295.85$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 740 | 56.9%421 W · 319 L | +46.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 44c | 293.98$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.35 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 59c | 252.4$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d5…4af2backed Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed No | 38c | 242.88$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Yes | 76c | 180.79$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 411 | 60.1%247 W · 164 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Yes | 59c | 180$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec46…072dbacked Yes | 56c | 175$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 56c | 170.34$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.95 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…0cf1backed Yes | 56c | 144.64$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked Yes | 56c | 138.45$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 40c | 133.31$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed No | 45c | 130$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33ab…ef42backed Yes | 79c | 123$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 27c | 121.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 316 | 48.7%154 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed No | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5122…1317backed Yes | 56c | 102.47$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…18dfbacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked No | 44c | 99.06$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x380e…5f39backed No | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 54c | 78.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 39c | 73.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 43c | 66.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked No | 45c | 60.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 139 | 39.6%55 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked No | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…4b32backed Yes | 47c | 51.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 189 | 63%119 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 57c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5c…48b6backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…323ebacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…01a8backed Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 33c | 41.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Yes | 56c | 39.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…9eecbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…a584backed Yes | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…f911backed Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…a463backed Yes | 51c | 29.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…2020backed Yes | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2738…602cbacked Yes | 56c | 20.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Yes | 61c | 16.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-2.5)Chelsea FC won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.