Premier League · resolved market
Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf62369798f2759544aeaeaba86bdfc25221677f9f915aa41daacb4ceafedfad7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,013 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 16c | 21,427$3,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,456.54 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fba…0516backed Over | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 15c | 4,826$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.93 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Under | 18c | 3,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 92 | 72.8%67 W · 25 L | +20.5wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 15c | 1,670$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.6 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 17c | 1,111$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.84 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Under | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +13.8wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +42%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 17c | 450.28$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 11c | 441.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 16c | 240$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 16c | 201.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 18c | 125$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Under | 17c | 120.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…df66backed Over | 77c | 120$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 18c | 99.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 18c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 16c | 74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked Under | 22c | 68.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 315 | 57.8%182 W · 133 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked Over | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-2.5)Chelsea FC won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.