TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$188,046

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,046 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Under41c82,538$34,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,158.816040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over59c19,236$11,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,889.246,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over59c18,344$10,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,497.9585048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Over57c17,543$9,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,543.2811349.6%56 W · 57 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under35c5,895$2,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,091.8446943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,15050644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over57c3,500$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5059272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.9940953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under42c1,750$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73532037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dcb…8709backed Over58c1,648$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.281030%3 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+97.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over57c1,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64533057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a9a…c308backed Over73c1,371$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.042373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+19.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under26c1,354$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.2816024.4%39 W · 121 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over57c1,328$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.3251750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under37c950.76$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.182948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Over74c947.27$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.013767.6%25 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1ae…ef8bbacked Over77c925.77$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under33c896.76$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.9374156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0efd…8c4fbacked Over71c691.35$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Under44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc2a8…6c88backed Over75c626.59$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under43c624.98$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.7475850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over53c622.64$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.6420054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Over57c415.89$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.837268.1%49 W · 23 L+13.8wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+42%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17236956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over59c384.36$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.364858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Under42c370.48$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.156654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under33c355$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.155151%26 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over59c345.01$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.6649753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Over58c342.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.245255.8%29 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Over59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.986829.4%20 W · 48 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15026548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over72c291.3$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8841260.2%248 W · 164 L+22.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Over67c275.34$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1511450.9%58 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf564…a382backed Under36c269.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over63c236.32$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.11,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over56c232.14$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1428654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59a8…eb4ebacked Over58c224.14$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.145100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over59c220.34$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.3428633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x36f7…1beebacked Under28c212$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x169b…6f9ebacked Over65c207.69$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.691080%8 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbc4…b2f8backed Over71c205.63$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.632356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over52c205$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.410533.3%35 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846953.6%37 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfa20…fd0dbacked Over56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Over65c192.31$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.315160.8%31 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45b2…1cd1backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.313855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5683…3ea1backed Over68c181.08$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.083661.1%22 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over64c160$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.630059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.565557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.535056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.559958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6319357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over63c147.16$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4596443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over63c145.29$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.761,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over57c125$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7537557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over58c125$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.555654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1ea…18e7backed Over54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.111040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under43c109.02$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1219441.8%81 W · 113 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over57c106$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5860557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa86c…564dbacked Over64c101.56$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ab1…c560backed Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under42c98.16$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.237550.7%38 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over55c96.36$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3620644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc26c…ffddbacked Over62c93.52$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.52742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked Over54c91.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.924040%16 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ae9…facabacked Over64c91.89$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.084748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd760…8e82backed Over64c91.26$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d4c…41c4backed Over64c90.2$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.47475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+26.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over57c90$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.732357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over63c90$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.31,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Over58c89.76$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.73148.4%15 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x023e…a3b9backed Over64c88.26$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.772100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under33c85.56$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3513152.7%69 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under42c83.59$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1121056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2738…602cbacked Over57c78.21$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.271346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over57c75$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2581559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5310550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7c8…e573backed Over63c71.43$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.43714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick50cpaid-77.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over54c70.31$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6927846.4%129 W · 149 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over57c70$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.136758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82e7…c61cbacked Over58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.978764.4%56 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e08…19cabacked Over63c67$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.796943.5%30 W · 39 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-24.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Over58c61.87$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.143946.2%18 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked Over57c61.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.411850.8%60 W · 58 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cfc…ab38backed Over50c61.4$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Under43c60.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.235565.5%36 W · 19 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.833156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.846660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.832255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.833057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.832656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.832755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.856158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.838358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.831557.8%182 W · 133 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.832158.6%188 W · 133 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1e6…3cd2backed Under34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-49.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over58c58.62$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6218841.5%78 W · 110 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under32c54.26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2316357.1%93 W · 70 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.