TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb7c8…e573

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
161
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 59 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7050%35 W · 35 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.5
Will the announcers say "iShowSpeed" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+592.3%+$385
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.14
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$140.6
Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$124.27
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$102.44
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$51.11
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$231
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$57.12
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$96.93
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+91.9%+$91.94
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$34.35
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.96
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.2
World Cup: Ronaldo to Score 2+ Penalties?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.5
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.92
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$884Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$884
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.2
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$320.33
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.08
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$74
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.84
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,202Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+97.2%+$1,168.09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+196.9%+$616.8
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$854Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$653.2
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.1
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$82
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$353.89
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+400%+$800
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$36.76
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$83
All 23 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$38.63
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$74.37
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$121
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)backed Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$67.42
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Team Falcons Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$69.51
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.29
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$68.79
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$194.14
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$33.18
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+30.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+150%+$360
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$167.39
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$79.61
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.9
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.44
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$19.52
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+77.5%+$77.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$78
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick50cpaid-77.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-73.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+511.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+129.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+208.4%+$104.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$50
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$19.26
SS Lazio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$48.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.