Premier League · resolved market
AFC Bournemouth vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1e8fc074a822ef1f4b9a91f17aaa6c8f3dbbd7528108bdc9073d8c9a109b608
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 27c | 2,868$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.31 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.65 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 56c | 1,569$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.34 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 16c | 1,478$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.74 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1d…820cbacked Under | 70c | 1,144$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.15 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Under | 78c | 999.99$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over | 38c | 371.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.99 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 26c | 317.29$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.51 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 17c | 300$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 59c | 238.34$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.62 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 18c | 191.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.51 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 71c | 169.73$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.29 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 15c | 156.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.51 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 17c | 143.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.79 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Under | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Over | 17c | 118.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.01 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…5a5ebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 72c | 99.65$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b7…8b0cbacked Over | 42c | 98.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Under | 56c | 97.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 23c | 94.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Under | 55c | 88.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…df20backed Under | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -5.3wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 35c | 71.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7658…28bcbacked Under | 53c | 66.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Under | 71c | 58.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…e573backed Under | 47c | 53.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 47c | 47.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 40c | 42.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…f9b4backed Under | 77c | 38.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 75cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 60c | 36.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f9…6e1dbacked Under | 75c | 29.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Under | 69c | 18.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…1582backed Under | 80c | 17.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5this page
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.