TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

AFC Bournemouth vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,780
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,075

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,780 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Under69c46,438$32,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,042.248962.9%56 W · 33 L+0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over32c32,228$10,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,875.482,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Under68c14,999$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,199.626046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over32c14,741$4,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,023.886,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over37c5,047$1,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,178.614,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Over31c5,000$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4504146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe375…dadfbacked Under50c2,008$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x877f…7acbbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-39.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over71c1,660$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.619067.8%61 W · 29 L+0.4wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Under5c1,588$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.47429.7%22 W · 52 L+12.1wins+0.16per pick13cpaid+125%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Over38c1,511$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.6310051%51 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over31c1,500$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,03560728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…e4bdbacked Under2c1,298$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.181553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+47%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under53c1,124$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.7151542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Over75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25020646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over33c882.48$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.391,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over41c806.13$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.7224158.1%140 W · 101 L+34.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+36.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under64c701.26$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.8151750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under68c661.76$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45030050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0f6…f699backed Under51c421$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.825547.3%26 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over32c399.65$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.7637342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e7…52cabacked Under33c361.52$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1192458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over33c314.84$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.0951847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under66c249.99$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16515952.2%83 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under48c205$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.871,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Over34c200.06$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.066845.6%31 W · 37 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4417…01eebacked Over48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10411142.3%47 W · 64 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under36c197.15$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.321,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Under57c189.95$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.072334.8%8 W · 15 L-5.4wins-0.23per pick58cpaid-37%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under50c188$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9443241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c181.37$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.3716731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under25c180.84$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5829041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over31c150$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.532755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over31c150$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.538358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under68c149.92$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9423353.6%125 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over33c133$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.111,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over43c130.93$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9958445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under20c128.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3674156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over33c121.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2135328.6%101 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over31c120$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.833156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over31c120$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.833057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over31c120$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.829057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over31c119.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7931557.8%182 W · 133 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Under44c117.65$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.147740.3%31 W · 46 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under23c116.18$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4757744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Over52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.385543.6%24 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9058…a2c2backed Under55c109.18$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under50c106$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5396645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x207b…df20backed Under34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.052227.3%6 W · 16 L-5.3wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-53.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under67c97$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.992347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under45c95.01$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0217744.1%78 W · 99 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over38c91$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.631,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a50…6c6bbacked Over33c90.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.918332.5%27 W · 56 L-11.4wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc0e6…71e4backed Under67c83$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.614148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaab…8b4cbacked Under32c80.19$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Under68c80$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.44450%22 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over69c79.72$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7220864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over34c73.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5322244.1%98 W · 124 L+19.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb7cd…e98dbacked Under68c72.78$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.49955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Under69c72.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under66c72.58$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.912951.2%66 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over31c70$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.326959.9%161 W · 108 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over54c66.24$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1619853%105 W · 93 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc4…63f6backed Under18c65$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.72462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over31c60$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.423658.1%137 W · 99 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8223220.7%48 W · 184 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb966…cac6backed Over34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.825832.8%19 W · 39 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Under37c58.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4320931.6%66 W · 143 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c80…aa9abacked Over38c58.12$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.823351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3b7…8b0cbacked Over71c57.92$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.921353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6468…e03dbacked Over33c44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.481450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Under58c43.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Over42c40.92$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7317549.1%86 W · 89 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Under68c40.51$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5511265.2%73 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Under45c39.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9914845.9%68 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under69c33.53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.141,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Over60c31.58$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5442658%247 W · 179 L+24.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2528654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Under68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205334%18 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under67c24.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6239651.5%204 W · 192 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4929…99d2backed Under46c23.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.711250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Over77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.728246.1%130 W · 152 L-12.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda4f…65babacked Under52c19.37$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.14146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd693…f646backed Under68c17.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa506…eea9backed Over59c17.17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bb1…f87dbacked Under68c16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.885244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.