Premier League · resolved market
AFC Bournemouth vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15e2463f421fd6995ab797cef4a46335c265e18558153cfe26a05de166213268
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 59c | 4,942$2,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,011.8 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 41c | 3,658$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.76 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Yes | 59c | 1,250$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.49 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 1,156$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.63 | 6,217 | 45.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L | -33.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 41c | 1,015$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.47 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 62c | 564.68$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.68 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 41c | 496.96$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.75 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 38c | 471.97$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.46 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 59c | 398.33$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.32 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 62c | 322.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.77 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 61c | 319.67$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.67 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 19c | 306.47$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.76 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 250.73$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.77 | 4,874 | 41.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 186 | 46.8%87 W · 99 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11ee…62a4backed No | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f87…be27backed Yes | 62c | 161.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f61…c8aabacked Yes | 61c | 139.43$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed No | 42c | 125.37$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1566…d210backed No | 41c | 109.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 22c | 105$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 750 | 56.5%424 W · 326 L | +44.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed No | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 41c | 57.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | +13.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…ddb5backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f3…7929backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 247 | 20.2%50 W · 197 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 34c | 47.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 57c | 46.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x115c…1e85backed Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 39c | 41.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c46…2d02backed Yes | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked Yes | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ed…ef48backed Yes | 61c | 39.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 41c | 35.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 228 | 34.2%78 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 39c | 33.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 892 | 52.9%472 W · 420 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 62c | 32.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe823…b7d7backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8009…ca1bbacked Yes | 59c | 17.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.36per pick | 46cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.