TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

AFC Bournemouth vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$320,919
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$327,444

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $320,919 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over55c220,355$121,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99,222.293930.8%12 W · 27 L-7.7wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-39.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under45c120,000$54,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,00027750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c55,825$25,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,121.252,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under45c20,289$9,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,124.721,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over55c16,863$9,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,588.375752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Under46c15,000$6,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,899.936046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Under45c10,412$4,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,693.494146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50025752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bbf…5a09backed Under0c7,291$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.661428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-29.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over55c5,061$2,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,298.236,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Under45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.993855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Under45c5,000$2,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,269.952556%14 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Over56c4,110$2,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,808.416437.2%61 W · 103 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafdc…c2a2backed Over55c3,302$1,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,485.82450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over55c3,127$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,407.1512649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under44c2,201$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.244560%27 W · 18 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9e0…719cbacked Under45c2,180$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9811250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Under46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.982646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Under45c1,999$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.59250%46 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over55c1,875$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.061,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3853…532bbacked Under47c1,638$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.5250%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Under44c1,603$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.41560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.8621656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Over55c1,448$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.6210051%51 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under23c1,211$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.5451542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under45c994.4$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.485949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under46c940$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4283164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under45c917.63$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.9439156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over71c909.22$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.0724158.1%140 W · 101 L+34.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+36.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over55c871.27$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.0714456.3%81 W · 63 L+13.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under46c870.04$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011346%52 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under45c806$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.742048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under45c800$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36036956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under45c778$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.121056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Over56c642.86$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.861963.2%12 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+52.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over57c639.03$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.894,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Under45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2257335.6%26 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Under45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010343.7%45 W · 58 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under46c435$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.119357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Under47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012639.7%50 W · 76 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f43…a080backed Under45c420.29$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18065557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18012951.2%66 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18083459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18060557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over55c399.99$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18037342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed Under13c385.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504822.9%11 W · 37 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1420054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1411448.2%55 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Under46c350$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1611566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+64.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x724b…e780backed Under45c302.99$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13559958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13537958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13535157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe965…f044backed Over56c285.43$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under45c283$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.3533753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under45c240$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10837554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003070%21 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+35.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004450%22 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d56…0ba5backed Under45c210$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.52751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Over55c210$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.513447%63 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c10…829bbacked Over55c209$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.053467.6%23 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-44.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under46c200$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+25.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9032357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7373…22eabacked Under45c199.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.992864.3%18 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under45c190$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.525553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Over56c180.36$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.366845.6%31 W · 37 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9372…3b1abacked Over56c180.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.152441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under45c180$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8136259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under45c180$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8127354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under45c180$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8181559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over56c173.23$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.227544%33 W · 42 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked Over56c170$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.85366%35 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Over52c166.97$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.156737.3%25 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Under45c164.67$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.13447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a61…588bbacked Under44c160$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.42665.4%17 W · 9 L+5.6wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+51.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.526158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.532255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.530554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.525456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.526058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.532656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.536758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.528255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.532755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.538358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x43b3…74cfbacked Over56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ff0…91fcbacked Over56c142.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.86742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc71d…3f27backed Over55c136.36$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.366547.7%31 W · 34 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under45c131.86$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.341,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…8332backed Over55c127$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under32c120.88$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1829041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.433156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under45c120$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5426958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under45c120$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5446660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under45c120$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5435056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.