TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa9e0…719c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
101
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+61.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Thunder vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$48.3
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+100%+$108.5
Spread: Magic (-4.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+104.1%+$51
Nuggets vs. Cavaliersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30.8
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+100%+$182
Spread: Clippers (-14.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$154.76
76ers vs. Mavericksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$37.84
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+222.6%+$48.29
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+100%+$37.5
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+85.2%+$32.2
Nets vs. 76ersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+354.5%+$124.8
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AFC Bournemouth vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$981Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$981
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$79
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$46.95
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+212.5%+$210.8
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$78.2
Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$35.2
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+163.2%+$71.92
Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$35.88
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Leeds United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$8.84
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+270.4%+$137.24
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$239.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$94.5
Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$80.28
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$170.41
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+154.5%+$121.4
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$84.18
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$37.2
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and 175m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$50.15
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 175m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$83.91
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 163m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$195.03
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 137m and 150m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$43.65
All 11 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick34cpaid-61.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$46.4
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$103.03
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$244.13
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$220.22
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$180.95
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$137.3
Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+284.6%+$167.62
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$151.2
Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$487.36
Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$107.27
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick40cpaid-72.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+54.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid+122.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Georgia (-6.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+112.7%+$308.86
Spread: Oregon (-2.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$57.55
Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$138
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Canucksbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$26.68
Stars vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$34.4
Kings vs. Starsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$138
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+85.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$134.81
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of November 17 above $295?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2025-12-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$28.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 600k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$39.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$45.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be between 41-42°F on November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$49.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Bash League: Melbourne Renegades vs Hobart Hurricanes (Game 1)backed Melbourne Renegades · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boise State Broncos vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$32.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.