TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$141,866
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,931

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,866 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over57c85,959$48,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,224.122055%11 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c18,522$8,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,142.784,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under43c15,000$6,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,45024145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c10,842$5,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,476.761,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,40012648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under46c4,500$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0708334.9%29 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb737…98b9backed Over35c4,236$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,735.571181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick66cpaid+33.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under49c4,193$2,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,068.3590843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under44c4,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under43c2,483$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.988957.3%51 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Over54c2,084$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.524141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under73c2,053$1,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,502.9869142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Under45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9005160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67538729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Over54c1,404$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.844266.7%28 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over54c1,296$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.1515851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under43c1,134$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.528055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Under47c1,126$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5292814.3%4 W · 24 L-6.9wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-62.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over56c940.79$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.954961.2%30 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9af…7807backed Over32c937.05$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+55.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Over55c910$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.59840.8%40 W · 58 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Over55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.0915446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under42c890.32$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.9310438.5%40 W · 64 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under43c878.26$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.223452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under43c814$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.0220159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Under43c800$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3449923.2%23 W · 76 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under44c800$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34835054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under44c800$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35222552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over65c780.92$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.3212875%96 W · 32 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under44c661.06$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.8710245.1%46 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2706238.7%24 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under44c600$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26131751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over26c588.71$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.667573.3%55 W · 20 L+20.9wins+0.28per pick45cpaid+62.3%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Under59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003756.8%21 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over40c488.18$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.9113824.6%34 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under44c480$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.821849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under44c480$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.814244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked Under46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under13c413.29$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.733641.7%15 W · 21 L+8.6wins+0.24per pick18cpaid+156.1%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under44c400$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17418152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under44c375$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16512951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Over54c370$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.23414.7%5 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-59.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under44c360$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.617648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under44c360$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.643255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over57c338.67$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.635367.9%36 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under43c334.37$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.787753.2%41 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under66c328.02$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2181,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over56c319.64$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.643850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1842…b628backed Under74c312.13$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2321338.5%5 W · 8 L-4.0wins-0.31per pick70cpaid-40.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Over56c308.71$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.836033.3%20 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Under42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1263360.6%20 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13227652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13229053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under44c299.36$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.7264046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over58c298.36$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.3131745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over53c269$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.4119258.9%113 W · 79 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under61c259.98$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.651,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under44c240$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.47951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under44c240$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.49945.5%45 W · 54 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under44c240$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.419652%102 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under44c240$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.411346.9%53 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under44c240$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.419951.8%103 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under44c240$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.414950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Over54c236.52$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.925152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b0…e7e9backed Over44c227.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.91560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+29.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under61c215.57$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.0129946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over56c200.95$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4219344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa9e0…719cbacked Under45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+54.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Under56c200$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-43.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Under43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f11…837cbacked Under76c190.89$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under47c190.18$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.624047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+47.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14f5…eb92backed Over35c186.41$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.42955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+51%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over37c185.77$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.7930743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under71c183.81$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.53050%15 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6611448.2%55 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under64c148.61$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4812744.1%56 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under44c140$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.912147.9%58 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over56c133.93$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9322553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Over55c130$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.520255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under44c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.29247.8%44 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under44c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.221051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.820652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.811952.9%63 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.87045.7%32 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.819750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under44c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.219153.4%102 W · 89 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under44c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.210247.1%48 W · 54 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under44c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.219155%105 W · 86 L+0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.820250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under44c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.28650%43 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.816151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under44c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.219751.8%102 W · 95 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under44c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.229053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.820949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Under44c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.210045%45 W · 55 L-9.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under44c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.215747.1%74 W · 83 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.