La Liga · resolved market
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x226e49599f2912f6ec77e03f8813b588c49b2b12b99fd97296b636d07e2d7703
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 25c | 2,862$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.89 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…4ce2backed Under | 77c | 1,677$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.05 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 20c | 1,619$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.55 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Over | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed Under | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 71c | 915.49$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.49 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 73c | 674.44$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.52 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9af…7807backed Over | 12c | 673.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…386cbacked Under | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Under | 71c | 433.84$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.81 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Under | 73c | 413.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.62 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 71c | 399.99$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 143 | 48.3%69 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 72c | 347.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 29c | 305$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.45 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c3…dedebacked Over | 29c | 278.59$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.79 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Over | 30c | 179.27$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac4…0f3bbacked Under | 72c | 167.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked Over | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 71c | 140.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Under | 66c | 140$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Over | 34c | 139.63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e2…7b4ebacked Over | 36c | 131.94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 72c | 125$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 27c | 125$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Over | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8c…8293backed Under | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…505cbacked Over | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 170 | 36.5%62 W · 108 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 20c | 65.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 34c | 55.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Over | 37c | 55.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…f4d2backed Over | 29c | 54.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 29c | 49.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 129 | 25.6%33 W · 96 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 68c | 47.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Over | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 28c | 39.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 31c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Under | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…e4f1backed Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc133…81ebbacked Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 76c | 18.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 66c | 15.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5this page
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Getafe CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Getafe CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)Getafe CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.