TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc7c…4ce2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
376
Categories scored
38
Categories below 50
21

Best Category: China Taiwan, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category China Taiwan at 58 out of 100; worst World Politics at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT11958%69 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 119 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Will There be 1-3 Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Nocries signs for a pro CS2 organization by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+385.9%+$135.86
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$6.18
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21.27
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$39.94
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+91.2%+$63.84
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs AM Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$42.54
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
Showing 25 of 119 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT3357.6%19 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$11.02
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$43.27
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+40%+$72.94
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$7.87
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.95
Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$15.97
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.57
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$54.62
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.32
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$46.48
S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$58.91
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$25.19
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$133.2
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.85
US strikes Iraq by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.94
Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$81.31
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT3066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$27.18
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$23.52
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$18.4
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Claude 4.8 released by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.92
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.98
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$6.63
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$13.15
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$38.5
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$49.8
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$193.37
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$70.41
GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$33.64
ChatGPT Outage by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.48
AWS service disrupted by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2080%16 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+40.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+369.5%+$73.9
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$38.19
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32%+$32.01
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$20.17
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.98
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$34.53
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+86.3%+$29.01
President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$35.93
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$109.77
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10.82
All 20 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cap FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+58%+$11.59
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$12.15
MegaETH FDV above $1.6B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$42.46
Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.56
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.02
Espresso FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$19.99
Over $200K committed to the Foresee public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$48.25
Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.77
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+194.4%+$633.91
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,142Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,141.85
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$32.92
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104.95
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elche CF win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$771Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+38.3%+$295.31
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,293Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+29.7%+$384.05
Will FC Andorra vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+35.1%+$21.08
Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+122.2%+$22
Will Rayo Vallecano vs. Valencia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+206.9%+$101.2
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$75.15
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+82.6%+$28.91
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Ilkley: Yunchaokete Bu vs Chris Rodeschbacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$7.53
Jiujiang: Xiaodi You vs En-Shuo Liangbacked En-Shuo Liang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.2
Abidjan 2: Michael Geerts vs Ioannis Xilasbacked Michael Geerts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Santa Cruz: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Federico Coriabacked Federico Coria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$334.34
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Blockxbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.6
Alicante: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Max Houkesbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Set 1 Winner: Paul vs Mullerbacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$18.6
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$8.61
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$144.18
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+39.3%+$15.71
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+159%+$79.51
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+33.2%+$13.28
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+31.8%+$12.7
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 20 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+26.3%+$13.13
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$96.53
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$182.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.88
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$790.25
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$210.43
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$9.74
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.11
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.11
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$23.33
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$848Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+336.9%+$2,856.39
All 11 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$56.92
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$62.71
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$91.95
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$25.2
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$88.89
LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Abacked Kaufland Hangry Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
LoL: G2 NORD vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Bbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$48.5
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.62
All 10 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT8100%8 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.6
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$20
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$33.1
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
All 8 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$16.48
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$66.45
Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$39.28
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+133.8%+$26.76
Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 8 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-44.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Joblife vs WIP Esports (BO5) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffsbacked WIP Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Valorant: NAVI Junior vs Enterprise Esports (BO5) - VCL NORTH//EAST Playoffsbacked NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.29
Valorant: LOUD vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO5) - VCT China Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$28.5
Valorant: Melilla Titans vs FALKE ESPORTS - Map 2 Winnerbacked FALKE ESPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$491.89
Valorant: Team Liquid vs ULF Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid+136.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-75.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick78cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+156.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-67.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-63.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+212.5%+$31.88
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.19
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,951Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,951.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+55.7%+$27.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+53%+$25.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Metsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 3 major space weather events this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.