TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-11-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$180,363
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$182,959

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,363 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x869b…c625backed Yes50c141,599$70,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,362.73650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No51c60,285$30,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,808.551,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No50c50,000$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,0009154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No50c9,607$4,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,804.168957.3%51 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No62c5,827$3,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,192.2490843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No51c5,730$2,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,802.051,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50029545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes48c4,112$1,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,973.544942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No55c3,801$2,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,728.184,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed No53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3bb…c8acbacked Yes47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96015044.7%67 W · 83 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No51c1,960$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.412648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No52c1,801$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.4664046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8006860.3%41 W · 27 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73538729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0de0…0884backed Yes36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed No52c1,195$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.543964.1%25 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010250%51 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50050149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes48c999.65$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.356238.7%24 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No52c899.97$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.9921355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No61c882.3$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.2669142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes34c784.02$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27055941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked No52c629.81$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.311764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No52c619$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.1223250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No52c591.83$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2866836.8%25 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No73c516.28$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9874457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24511947.1%56 W · 63 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No49c482$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.6215250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Yes46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003756.8%21 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked No51c431.37$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.371361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked No50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002927.6%8 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89cb…574cbacked Yes40c380.13$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.051241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Yes47c356$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.323351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Yes37c353.53$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1313751.4%19 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed No54c319.47$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.965040%20 W · 30 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+59.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No51c294$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.0622552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c2a…c9c8backed Yes20c293.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+42.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8337…8eb1backed Yes39c282.18$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42ce…d2cbbacked Yes47c265.96$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253458.8%20 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006035%21 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed Yes52c248$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.962965.5%19 W · 10 L+7.1wins+0.24per pick41cpaid+65.4%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x46fe…a43dbacked No53c245.28$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.282470.8%17 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes44c228.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3630743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes48c215.59$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7453242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x216a…9380backed Yes47c212.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e9…8f51backed Yes39c202.56$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803246.9%15 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8011547%54 W · 61 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7052…74aebacked No50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9820945%94 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes47c199.97$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9912845.3%58 W · 70 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes48c180.12$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2524047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes46c171.21$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4227854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x98e0…bf01backed No62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.297363%46 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No52c156.18$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4353246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb964…a6edbacked No65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.85580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.520255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed No55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.55554.5%30 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715427.8%15 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb375…59d6backed Yes49c145.5$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.33655.6%20 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+36.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe333…cf5fbacked Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No51c117$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3335054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506639.4%26 W · 40 L-8.9wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-25.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Yes51c116.06$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.192962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ef4…a780backed Yes37c115.55$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes22c113.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256443.8%28 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+33.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1166…a8e1backed Yes48c104$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505442.6%23 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No67c103.32$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1783650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1612917.8%23 W · 106 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503964.1%25 W · 14 L+6.9wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+41.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+26.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdbd…d4b9backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed No51c98.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.155050%25 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fd2…f9aebacked Yes32c93.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x438c…481abacked No54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.591752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked No51c88$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1213052.3%68 W · 62 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No51c88$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1229053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No51c88$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1243255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed No52c87.21$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.86875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+28.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32b3…67cdbacked No50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+61.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25b0…94ebbacked No53c79.25$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.252138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.9wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-29.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes45c74.36$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4625648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No51c73$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7718152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd6…b378backed Yes39c70$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.33745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6b1…c973backed Yes38c68.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc7c…4ce2backed No55c63.91$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.911369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3875…e1ebbacked Yes47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No51c58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4227652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No51c58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4219750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No51c58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4229053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No51c58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4231751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x490e…6ea7backed No52c55.67$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.72955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Yes23c54.59$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5614854.1%80 W · 68 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd832…67e0backed Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011244.6%50 W · 62 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No69c52.19$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3329946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.