La Liga · resolved market
Will Celta Vigo vs. Espanyol end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f820cc40e56336ccb4c6ce5375678c4703588e42c712f0b8b67f61e8d3c1a64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked No | 72c | 7,834$5,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,193.44 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 47c | 6,134$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.68 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 60c | 4,070$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.58 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked No | 51c | 3,588$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 32c | 2,748$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.84 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 51c | 2,424$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.31 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 71c | 1,457$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.63 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 36c | 1,273$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.48 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 72c | 1,043$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.04 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 39c | 1,018$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.86 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed68…236cbacked No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 223 | 35%78 W · 145 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 13c | 773.92$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.64 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 29c | 690.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 23c | 620$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.17 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes | 75c | 600$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 32c | 507.14$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.06 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac2a…7418backed Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd24a…10acbacked Yes | 76c | 379.71$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7d8abacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 37c | 334.55$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b3…6bfcbacked No | 62c | 323.52$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.74 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 29c | 320.69$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb28…3694backed Yes | 76c | 319$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 59c | 276.27$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.27 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 28c | 272.83$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.39 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 66 | 72.7%48 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e20…1524backed Yes | 45c | 242.89$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.3 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 42c | 240.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 36c | 234.9$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.18 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 30c | 234.24$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Yes | 61c | 200.16$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…bfc7backed Yes | 34c | 179.59$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.93 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes | 71c | 169.01$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 71c | 167.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 46c | 155.91$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.72 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 44c | 153.66$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.89 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 28c | 142.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 28c | 139.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 37c | 111.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 25c | 75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Yes | 45c | 67.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61df…0317backed No | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Yes | 36c | 62.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ab…0e37backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…ea07backed Yes | 66c | 56.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed No | 67c | 40.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 39c | 39.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 74c | 37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Yes | 28c | 36.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08d2…f94dbacked Yes | 29c | 35.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 59c | 31.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0b…8299backed Yes | 75c | 26.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…5b36backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa709…4d86backed Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf666…656cbacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed No | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068d…900cbacked No | 72c | 14.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celta Vigo vs. Espanyol end in a draw?this page
- Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-11-30?No won
- Will Espanyol win on 2025-11-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.