TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfe8c…ad4b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
341
Categories scored
35
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT9040%36 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+68%+$32.48
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.28
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.95
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+184.5%+$65.3
Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.87
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.88
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.21
Will Iran strike Syria in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+39%+$26.51
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+97.6%+$12.02
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.78
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.03
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.43
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$94.98
Will Israel strike 3 countries in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+134.8%+$29.01
US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.05
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+140.5%+$336.19
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$104.29
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.49
Will France strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.22
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.74
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.72
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.99
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.73
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.59
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.49
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT5125.5%13 W · 38 L-6.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-43.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.79
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.25
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$64.05
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.83
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.97
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$186
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$13.4
Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$17.86
Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$60.72
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$21.7
Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$19.43
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Spread: Heat (-6.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+104.1%+$30.09
Spread: Magic (-9.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$31.05
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$184.8
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$72.9
Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$206.28
Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$140.79
Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$134.9
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$174.36
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$36.52
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$63.45
Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$79.86
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2425%6 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.98
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.66
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.21
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$29.2
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.9
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.46
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$24.98
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$53.13
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$306.08
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$90.03
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.31
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+533.9%+$1,620.95
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.3%+$23.67
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+51.5%+$35.7
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$207.54
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$23.16
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+29.9%+$6.2
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+521.1%+$167.8
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$29.4
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.4
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$23.2
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+25%+$8
All 24 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-33%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jorge Malavet be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.05
Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.93
Will Chuck Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.93
Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Will Mark Baisley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Colorado?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$24.51
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.88
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.62
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Jermaine Johnson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12.8
Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.84
Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000 voters?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary?backed GOP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.74
Will John Cornyn win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+419.3%+$84.78
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+28.3%+$101.09
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$129
Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,085Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+84.3%+$915
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$560.64
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$120
All 20 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.99
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$26.07
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.12
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.55
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$155.56
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+157.5%+$25.84
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31%+$5.57
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
GPT-5.4 released by March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25.94
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.8%+$3.73
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$36.05
Will Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during NVIDIA keynote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+67%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monza: Timofey Skatov vs Hugo Gastonbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.48
Chile Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Sebastian Baezbacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$68.54
ATX Open: Rebeka Masarova vs Taylor Townsendbacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+142.8%+$204.34
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+163.2%+$633.64
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$382.79
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+57.9%+$110
Open de Moselle: Cameron Norrie vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+154.2%+$121.33
Open de Moselle: Clement Tabur vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Open de Moselle: Matteo Berrettini vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+426.3%+$81
Hellenic Championship: Brandon Nakashima vs Marcos Gironbacked Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+34.4%+$33.46
Hellenic Championship: Stan Wawrinka vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$88
Open de Moselle: Vitaliy Sachko vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$183
Open de Moselle: Arthur Cazaux vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+212.5%+$136
Hellenic Championship: Alexandre Muller vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+167.9%+$31.33
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56%+$23.79
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+192.2%+$36.13
US downs a Mexican cartel drone by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$20.32
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.93
Will Nepali Congress win the second-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.72
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.18
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+117.4%+$21.6
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$310
Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$366
Will turnout be between 78% and 81% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$160
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick19cpaid-88.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Spread: Patriots (-7.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$42.04
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+26.1%+$138.51
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$154.84
Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Falcons vs. Jetsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$44.57
Cardinals vs. Buccaneersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14.67
Rams vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$45
All 11 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$22.19
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$59.85
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.17
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.19
Will "The Addams Family" be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$63.2
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+31.9%+$88.05
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+25.6%+$31.35
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$226.54
Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$36.42
Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$76.21
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-82.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$663Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$663.36
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.13
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,410Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,410
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$2,254Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$2,253.64
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+56.3%+$31.09
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 9 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick20cpaid-59.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+85.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-48.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-50.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+90.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+198.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+66.9%+$42.1
Will New Zealand win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+484.4%+$246.16
Bangladesh T20 Series: Bangladesh vs Ireland (Game 3)backed Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+42.9%+$13.8
All 3 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+82.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Chinese Taipeibacked Chinese Taipei · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+203%+$26.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,320Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+89.4%+$1,180
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Seattle Sounders FC vs. St. Louis City SC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+25%+$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+25%+$3
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ole Miss win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$51.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.