World Politics · resolved market
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea64b67bedc5f6793c567d23dfdf7288b6ee5858e068b91ab1a81e3563ee58f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $359,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $359,592 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 324 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd64e…5516backed No | 21c | 14,829$3,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,096.71 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked No | 27c | 7,701$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,047.61 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x359d…d7ebbacked No | 8c | 7,422$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 6c | 5,518$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.49 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6d…f8c9backed Yes | 64c | 5,233$3,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f87…f277backed No | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.98 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd459…13f9backed No | 3c | 4,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 11c | 3,636$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.95 | 76 | 18.4%14 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 78c | 3,471$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.74 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81d7…2149backed Yes | 76c | 3,453$2,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed No | 9c | 3,297$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.34 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Yes | 65c | 3,079$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.73 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.9wins | -0.43per pick | 66cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x223a…7664backed No | 8c | 2,594$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed No | 36c | 2,500$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.33 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…7737backed No | 12c | 2,431$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a4…a4babacked No | 1c | 2,272$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce95…387cbacked No | 11c | 2,123$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…8eefbacked Yes | 75c | 1,834$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.53 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 76c | 1,749$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.97 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 28c | 1,602$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.14 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 27c | 1,600$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.99 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb2…bdc3backed Yes | 65c | 1,537$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…6388backed Yes | 72c | 1,381$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e82…17c7backed No | 41c | 1,301$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a9…4f6abacked Yes | 63c | 1,232$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +42%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 23c | 1,201$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.91 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked No | 11c | 1,190$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f6…ec7abacked No | 11c | 1,175$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…2dd9backed No | 29c | 1,120$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.82 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b21…0122backed No | 11c | 1,101$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked No | 11c | 1,100$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf843…d7dbbacked Yes | 63c | 1,099$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfae…9647backed Yes | 63c | 1,085$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d62…27e0backed No | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 69c | 994.53$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.66 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…0efebacked No | 6c | 931.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…5878backed Yes | 63c | 897.41$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5c…8b52backed Yes | 71c | 871.75$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 27c | 837.86$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.95 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9206…6fa2backed Yes | 64c | 784.38$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc176…6685backed Yes | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 16c | 717.12$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.15 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 2c | 699.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed No | 27c | 697$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.32 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…a185backed Yes | 64c | 680.87$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 21c | 678.39$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.75 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…2cc5backed Yes | 71c | 662.48$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x038a…bfecbacked No | 6c | 660.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…cad0backed No | 7c | 657.48$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -77%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb372…2048backed No | 13c | 649.56$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…77f7backed No | 11c | 648.45$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked Yes | 61c | 614.57$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.92 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7309…4967backed No | 30c | 611.14$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed No | 11c | 600$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.69 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…5166backed Yes | 67c | 596.3$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.3 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32c0…3643backed Yes | 67c | 586.02$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed No | 6c | 583$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e1…e46fbacked No | 7c | 562.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 14c | 549.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a8…67d6backed No | 25c | 511.52$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.39 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcf…5edcbacked No | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb44…d3d2backed Yes | 67c | 500$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 35c | 498.7$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.48 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 73c | 485.12$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.55 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a34…f0fbbacked No | 9c | 466$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d01…9b25backed No | 38c | 456$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7593…e677backed No | 6c | 452.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 79c | 432.09$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.01 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb00b…fbcabacked No | 34c | 409$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +181.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dff…1f35backed No | 46c | 408.85$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…9a1ebacked No | 26c | 399.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +119%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe124…9d4ebacked No | 37c | 399.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…4592backed Yes | 71c | 372.09$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee3…612dbacked Yes | 74c | 364.19$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.31 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x348d…5102backed No | 30c | 361.29$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 12c | 352.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…ee3ebacked Yes | 70c | 350$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 11c | 350$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 12c | 344.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ea…af12backed Yes | 52c | 341.38$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 30c | 333.23$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540a…64c9backed Yes | 69c | 324$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.92 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe64c…b9ffbacked No | 32c | 320.32$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3129…22edbacked Yes | 63c | 320$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba2…eb93backed Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 69c | 301$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.98 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f8…6c22backed Yes | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…91a9backed No | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ab…5a3dbacked No | 11c | 299.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b4…3258backed Yes | 66c | 296$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…433abacked Yes | 58c | 289.98$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f76…1d92backed No | 36c | 289.52$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.66 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9078…26afbacked Yes | 71c | 280.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.21 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f34…b678backed Yes | 68c | 275.56$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.69 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 36c | 273.9$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.34 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe532…29dcbacked Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6745…f6e1backed Yes | 72c | 265.88$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…9af1backed Yes | 64c | 264$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55cd…8fc1backed Yes | 71c | 247.96$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 33c | 243.61$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.75 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?this page
- Will Communist Party of Nepal (UML) win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?No won
- Will Loktantrik Samajwadi Party Nepal win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?No won
- Will Nepali Communist Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?No won
- Will Nepali Congress win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?No won
- Will Rastriya Janamorcha win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?No won
- Will Rastriya Prajatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.