TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x910a…91a9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
129
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Middle East, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 61 out of 100; worst Asian League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+4.6wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+131.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Middle East — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$267.38
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.33
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$937Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$936.5
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.97
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$349.8
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+754.7%+$475.94
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$234.36
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$178.36
Will Israel strike 3 countries in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.93
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+614.3%+$524.6
Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+521.1%+$170.32
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$242.99
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 25% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+669.2%+$231.42
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+138.1%+$423.4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$252
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$16.38
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+108.3%+$117.52
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+72.4%+$161.7
All 20 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.6
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$639Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$638.87
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.16
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.45
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$168.49
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$278.38
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.00 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$75.21
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.38
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.64
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.97
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$514Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$403.48
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$45.54
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.55
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$134.64
Will "Data Center" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$625Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$624.77
Will "Greenland" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$143.38
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+51.2%+$41.3
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$139.86
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$59.29
All 20 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$122.15
Will "SAKAMOTO DAYS" win Best New Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.62
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.47
Will "Marty Supreme" win no awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$255.84
Will The Girl Who Cried Pearls win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$288.8
Will Leonardo DiCaprio attend the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
Will "GOAT" Third Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+56.3%+$337.32
Will The Pitt win Best Ensemble in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$31.7
Will Owen Cooper win Best Actor in a Television Movie or Limited Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$87
Will John Candy: I Like Me win Best Producer of a TV Movie at the 37th PGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$81.9
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Producer of Documentary Film at the 37th PGA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$97.02
Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$138.84
Will "Hamnet" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$72.24
Will "Marty Supreme" win Best Casting at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.38
Will "Frankenstein" win Best Production Design at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$212.66
Will "The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+72.4%+$286.86
Will "Wuthering Heights" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$499.1
All 17 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.5
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.84
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$745Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+110.8%+$825.34
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$607Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$223.21
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$683Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$192.72
Will February 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$95.12
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$262.7
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+143.9%+$54.87
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+37%+$54.54
Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$36.36
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$142.08
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$77.88
Will there be at least 650 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$63.72
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juntos por el Perú (JP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.11
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win between 85-89 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.64
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+152.5%+$216.84
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.75
Will Josée Massi be the next mayor of Toulon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$274.48
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will Keir Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+44%+$170.07
Will Keir Starmer say "Rules-based" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$39.6
Will Keir Starmer say "Ally" or "Allied" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$80.56
All 9 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-38.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$73.78
Will SpaceX raise between $50B and $60B in its IPO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.99
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?backed OpenAI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.45
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.32
Will SpyGlass Pharma, Inc.'s market cap be between $600M and $650M at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$67.15
Will Once Upon a Farm's market cap be between $700M and $750M at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$208.76
Will Forgent Power Solutions' market cap be greater than $9.00B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+69.5%+$179.17
All 7 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+106.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.41per pick34cpaid+351.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid+156.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$237.9
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$82.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Spirit qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$265.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+95.3%+$96.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tyler1 shave his head by June 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$359.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$22.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cam Spencer: Assists Over 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+27.9%+$107.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthersbacked Eastern Illinois Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$36.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Efecto be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$238.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$240.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$427.52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.