AI · resolved market
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.00 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafe983158e8bacc7771c92f428aa45655b3cbbbe62256ddf3cdcd004ba29310d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18fa…3730backed Yes | 23c | 1,497$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.31 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…e61bbacked Yes | 23c | 1,126$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…b54dbacked No | 77c | 1,102$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.46 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe07c…1307backed Yes | 23c | 1,028$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.44 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 4c | 976.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 150 | 2.7%4 W · 146 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…a1ffbacked Yes | 23c | 937$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.51 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d5…1caebacked Yes | 15c | 905$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.75 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00c2…1be5backed No | 77c | 893$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.39 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03a3…fdf4backed No | 77c | 787$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.01 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…db83backed Yes | 23c | 784$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.32 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f2…2badbacked Yes | 23c | 696$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.08 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cb…933ebacked No | 77c | 686$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.78 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d3…53dcbacked No | 77c | 652$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…fa0bbacked Yes | 6c | 579.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d48…d6f1backed Yes | 23c | 550$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 12c | 519.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5481…50ecbacked Yes | 16c | 461$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11c6…e25ebacked No | 77c | 443$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.89 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc70…50c0backed Yes | 23c | 442$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.66 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ab…d0a0backed No | 77c | 442$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.66 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57ab…434bbacked No | 77c | 440$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…a73cbacked No | 77c | 357$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.11 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…8954backed Yes | 4c | 327$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…91a9backed No | 77c | 327$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.21 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c07…956bbacked No | 77c | 320$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…141abacked No | 77c | 280$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374b…9a1fbacked Yes | 23c | 271$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…3b33backed No | 77c | 271$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.33 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4653…65c5backed Yes | 23c | 264$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…eb3abacked No | 77c | 264$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…e0ecbacked Yes | 16c | 227$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 16c | 207$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 301 | 27.2%82 W · 219 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47cd…1f8bbacked Yes | 23c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a0…b7bdbacked No | 77c | 161$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 6c | 159.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 20c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d17…1e5ebacked No | 77c | 103$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 185 | 44.3%82 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed Yes | 23c | 72.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…54a7backed No | 77c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…67fbbacked No | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8669…7111backed No | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.00 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?this page
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.50 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.75 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.40 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.50 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.50 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $4.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.