TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

AI · resolved market

Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.50 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,795
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,538

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,795 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in AI
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf1b2…a321backed Yes62c1,916$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.76580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick41cpaid+201.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No27c1,420$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.4545738.9%178 W · 279 L-31.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f3e…f9d4backed Yes32c997$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.962853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+56.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ee…9238backed Yes66c978$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.521442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70d5…3a73backed Yes27c940$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.2683.3%5 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.50per pick33cpaid+243.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8e3e…0959backed No28c806$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.68825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-64.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d23…aa07backed Yes70c730$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2191241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8401…a498backed No34c725$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.51650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+56.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8151…3421backed No19c719$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.611643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2eb…5751backed Yes32c700$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4762560%15 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ec0…76f4backed Yes66c698$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.321154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ae…8598backed No30c656$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.82441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…7523backed Yes27c652$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.962445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60f4…d6debacked Yes33c611$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.371060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+85.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd622…defcbacked No68c604$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.992737%10 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf085…a01fbacked Yes77c587$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.011353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4061…f5ebbacked No19c586$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.341625%4 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-52.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a5a…779cbacked No73c582$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.862737%10 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ab…56e8backed No21c580$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.81668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.21per pick47cpaid+47%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x965d…7773backed Yes79c580$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.82040%8 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdfe…6108backed No19c574$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.06714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick38cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd569…3037backed No33c558$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.141010%1 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick38cpaid-85.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x83be…6f94backed No29c557$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.531936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcae4…ccecbacked No30c553$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.91060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+80.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x87d6…9357backed No68c551$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.681136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…54a7backed Yes33c540$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.81747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed No15c537.75$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.824610.9%5 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-66.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb25…5b6bbacked Yes72c517$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.761758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x466e…ed99backed No29c509$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.611921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-55.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d9d…a002backed Yes72c453$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.841450%7 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+31%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x23b9…6447backed No67c444$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.481145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86a2…02c0backed No14c435$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.561250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1294…9151backed No33c433$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.821850%9 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c9…bee7backed No28c431$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.681154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick34cpaid+86.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fbf…7328backed No23c424$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.521735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db2…ebc2backed No67c398$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.661353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e15…7ff5backed Yes71c385$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.651947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e8…ac57backed No67c385$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.952045%9 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf7f…db83backed Yes70c364$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.21643.8%7 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78ba…f02dbacked No68c359$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.121747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0257…6beabacked No28c357$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.961540%6 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa347…2a40backed No19c346$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.742520%5 W · 20 L-5.8wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-71.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8745…4805backed Yes46c343.26$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.412536%9 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c2e…e025backed Yes71c342$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.182161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10bc…0451backed Yes33c331$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.77837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c51…a829backed No67c331$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.772245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1502…be53backed No23c328$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.442828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22ec…4477backed No20c326$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+35.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdb7…6cd5backed No17c325$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.251040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe590…87bfbacked No30c322$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.61533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00c8…e4c8backed Yes67c321$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.931266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+55.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2f…a8aabacked Yes71c320$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.81154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fc…d14dbacked No29c320$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.81464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x874a…d584backed No68c312$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.16616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-65.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5dd2…ae40backed No73c310$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.31650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+45.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef14…bf21backed Yes80c306$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.21136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd72…6cc4backed No65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1952763%17 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd29f…26b4backed Yes27c300$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2191457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+47.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82a7…afb5backed No73c300$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2191464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+50.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbcac…f545backed No17c298$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.662070%14 W · 6 L+5.6wins+0.28per pick42cpaid+117.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x66f2…2badbacked Yes72c293$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.041258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick39cpaid+87.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x53b7…4146backed No17c293$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.81933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid+11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabeb…7a78backed No34c293$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.622035%7 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid0%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1719…5ceabacked No65c290$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.52352.2%12 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb50…7bfcbacked No21c288.65$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6211841.5%49 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0cb…ab6abacked Yes66c277$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.181241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe87e…4f70backed Yes80c274$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.82556%14 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6956…dd15backed No17c274$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.581136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd001…3ceabacked Yes72c271$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.881050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad8…9756backed No15c264$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.61127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-51.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x298c…67fbbacked No68c264$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.52922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-52.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb74c…9c72backed No16c256$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.961050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+33.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1220…741abacked No16c255$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.82138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8669…7111backed No20c254$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa098…81e4backed No16c254$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.641030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79f1…441ebacked No28c250$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78ec…18f2backed Yes72c250$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed No12c247.53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.725122.7%57 W · 194 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad90…9090backed Yes77c245$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.353336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88c4…758bbacked Yes67c237$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.211758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6546…c454backed Yes66c230$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.21478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.3wins+0.31per pick48cpaid+142.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6787…8884backed No68c229$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.721233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b82…1712backed Yes71c228$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.12757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59d7…0217backed Yes77c227$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.211414.3%2 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.30per pick45cpaid-81.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbcf8…0657backed No23c227$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.212462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6eac…92cabacked No67c226$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.421822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8fbd…1598backed Yes71c215$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.351850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2a8…9b29backed No34c202$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.681741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa647…d77dbacked No67c193$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.311747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No20c180.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.532977.7%23 W · 274 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-44.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes16c179$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.6530127.2%82 W · 219 L+1.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6897…63b6backed No30c177$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76fd…e8c4backed No34c176$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.84944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+75.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2950…ffeabacked No23c163$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.492657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+33.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe17a…c6fbbacked No19c161$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.592040%8 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6a…21c3backed No67c142$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.141952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb593…28eabacked No68c137$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.162441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39a8…7d57backed No16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-30.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6906…d8b8backed Yes71c98.71$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.63540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96e9…4b32backed Yes76c77.48$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.64748.9%23 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.