TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa0cb…ab6a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
120
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Weather, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.97
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$708Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$248.82
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$459.25
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$51
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$433.35
Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$151.14
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$144.3
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$219.24
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$272
Will the US not strike Iran by April 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$78.65
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$231.84
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$266.59
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+177.8%+$275.2
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$176.92
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+163.2%+$143.84
Will Israel strike 1 country in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+426.3%+$143.9
Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$100.32
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+37%+$129.6
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$42.84
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+112.8%+$66.78
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+37%+$103.68
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.87
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.66
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.6
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$162
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.92
Will Cason Wallace lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.3
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$166.32
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.4
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$82.15
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.39
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$106.7
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.75
Will Trae Young be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$123.97
All 14 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+56.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$313.9
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.75
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$40.2
Will Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.08
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+39.2%+$51.21
Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$51.68
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+400%+$218.4
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.4%+$34.69
Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+150%+$180.6
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$678Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$677.79
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$298.74
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+455.6%+$200.08
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+49.3%+$25.41
All 13 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$345.22
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$522.6
Will "Project Hail Mary" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 18m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.89
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.66
Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$25.22
Will "Hamnet" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22.25
Will "Pillion" win Outstanding Debut at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$181.6
Will Joel Edgerton be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+64.5%+$127.4
Will Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$15
Will In Your Dreams be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$23.7
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$81.38
Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+257.1%+$102.24
Will Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+63.9%+$18.72
All 13 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.32
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.42
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.35
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $620b and $630b on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.44
Will Craig Federighi be the next CEO of Apple?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.2
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$101.22
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.16
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$17.55
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.50 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$94.18
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$62.05
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$559Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$495.38
Nothing Ever Happens: AI Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+212.5%+$155.09
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GERB-SDS win between 60-64 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.64
Will Starmer say "Renewables" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$896Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$421.44
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 100-114 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.21
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.88
Will 'Deadline' - BlackPink debut week album sales be less than 300k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$82.8
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$24.51
Will Cătălin Drulă get between 15% and 20% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+50.5%+$9.39
Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 25% and 30% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+69.5%+$30.75
Will Anca Alexandrescu get between 20% and 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$13.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+205.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+185%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$215.76
Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-2.5)backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$316.48
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$71.52
All 3 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-36.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$45.24
Will Atlético Madrid advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+31.6%+$150.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.12
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.22
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$144.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Partizan vs. BC Dubaibacked Partizan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+525%+$490.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Style" be said at the Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+222.6%+$492.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+203%+$278.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$154.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$310.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 158.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+35.5%+$164.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$96.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Washington Capitals win the Metropolitan Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will two people dissent the December Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$132
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$52.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$192.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.