TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-04-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,975
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,167

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,975 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No4c4,946$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.965,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc94…efd5backed No29c2,212$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa457…1a93backed Yes71c1,343$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.47580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+91.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes78c1,197$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.281,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No2c1,094$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2892835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No34c882.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9916647.6%79 W · 87 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed No1c788.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.965335.8%19 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0cb…ab6abacked Yes71c744$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+185%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaa1…eb3abacked Yes71c740$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick47cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5214…95c9backed Yes71c728$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.12580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+45%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Yes69c725.47$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.471942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6897…63b6backed Yes71c649$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaefa…f98ebacked No29c649$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes69c557.89$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.9293446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes68c524.37$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.251,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No28c499$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.298532.9%28 W · 57 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d48…d6f1backed No29c497$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd07…0058backed No29c488$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.52475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No30c449.03$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.8230049.7%149 W · 151 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ef…095ebacked No29c358$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes69c353$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.43771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b2…dcc5backed No9c276$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes73c267.38$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.91,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No32c257.48$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7784347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes66c249.39$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.791,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No30c216.56$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.891,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No31c199.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622060%12 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa18…8fc1backed No52c191.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e9…9107backed No52c191.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.61425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x022c…59c8backed No52c190.95$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.29250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca45…8af9backed No51c189.26$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.52862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a4c…69cbbacked No51c187.98$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ebb…bda4backed No51c187.96$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f1e…009abacked No50c187.46$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.73450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8602…fd48backed No52c187.4$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7b9…6782backed No51c187.28$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.51560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d1…553dbacked No52c186.88$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.18540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d31…adbfbacked No51c186.86$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8409…546ebacked No50c186.81$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50ef…e9fbbacked No51c186.71$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.22450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9e…74bfbacked No50c186.54$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.27560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f25…4938backed No50c185.69$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3ff…7898backed No51c185.4$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.55540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39b8…8031backed No50c185.33$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.67560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70c8…6582backed No51c185.29$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb511…4224backed No52c185.26$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89ca…ecf2backed No52c184.22$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.79450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff53…24fbbacked No52c183.98$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.67560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b1…65bfbacked No50c183.26$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.63771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+41.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3b3…2923backed No52c182.35$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.82560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd032…36e0backed No51c181.84$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.74650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38f4…8c69backed No50c181.8$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+104.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf51b…db7ebacked No50c181.77$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.89425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x398e…1cb4backed No52c181.12$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.18450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x732b…0d38backed No50c180.93$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb479…cdcabacked No52c180.89$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.06560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6016…97cdbacked No52c180.56$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.89425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78d6…116abacked No50c180.49$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4d…d3a0backed No50c180.36$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.18450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa55…9d17backed No50c179.69$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.85771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6322…85a3backed No50c179.48$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb14f…6655backed No50c179.3$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.65450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a34…e0fcbacked No51c179.27$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.43450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b26…10c6backed No51c179.11$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.35475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+35.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc5…f09fbacked No50c178.56$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0bc…40eabacked No52c177.96$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.54450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f79…304fbacked No51c177.76$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.66450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6f8…d24fbacked No51c177.65$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3227…6df7backed No52c177.62$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.36475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec2a…ce7fbacked No52c177.11$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes79c176.96$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8319268.2%131 W · 61 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e68…31d8backed No52c176.91$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.99475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d2…ba63backed No50c176.86$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5baa…15e2backed No50c176.8$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2611…521ebacked No50c176.67$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.34450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38e6…8431backed No50c176.62$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.31475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89d6…6f37backed No50c176.19$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc31…4c4abacked No51c176.09$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.81425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6112…efadbacked No51c176.07$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20f1…3b22backed No51c175.72$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc54a…c7c0backed No51c175.52$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.52475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaccb…5b2ebacked No51c175.35$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.43580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+48.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f20…836fbacked No51c174.81$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeef7…d991backed No51c174.75$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.12425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15f1…0e51backed No52c172.57$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.74560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe246…4471backed No52c170.92$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79b2…39dabacked No52c170.35$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.58666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1469…3a8abacked No52c170.24$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.52450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes68c168.9$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.541,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No31c155.51$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2153148.8%259 W · 272 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No33c151$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4582053.8%441 W · 379 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Yes67c149.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.783100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.934429.5%13 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3341…d7e4backed Yes70c140$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4db7…1cabbacked Yes69c127.54$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.543748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Yes69c120.87$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.473943.6%17 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+44.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedb7…8db0backed Yes69c115.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.074100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No31c114.58$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8373850.3%371 W · 367 L-2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked Yes71c108.54$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.545671.4%40 W · 16 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3423755.3%131 W · 106 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.