IPO · resolved market
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a4a06d086c9b4dae7bb5037cf8610dc50a045b7eedc056d2d3435dbfd684bed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- IPOevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $417,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $432,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $417,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 433 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in IPO is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in IPO | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0965…ac46backed No | 0c | 39,311$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked No | 54c | 22,581$12,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,147.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…ea02backed Yes | 72c | 16,574$11,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,686.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b54…2adabacked Yes | 43c | 15,950$6,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,044.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b8…55cebacked Yes | 45c | 9,999$4,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,544.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…e0a8backed Yes | 18c | 6,948$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,665.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +441.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5078…99b1backed Yes | 32c | 6,884$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,712.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +119%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 1c | 6,750$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 2cpaid | +548.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 30c | 6,166$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,343.67 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 9c | 5,577$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1682…26cabacked No | 3c | 4,061$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…822abacked Yes | 77c | 3,962$3,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5b…5d41backed No | 15c | 3,379$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.83 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 3,147$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 64 | 0%0 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…9c76backed No | 67c | 3,084$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…93f9backed No | 55c | 2,953$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed No | 59c | 2,842$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 39c | 2,514$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.02 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -47%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeee…0118backed Yes | 44c | 2,476$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d6…5176backed No | 13c | 2,368$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 77c | 2,354$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…f3bbbacked No | 19c | 2,330$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc6…6043backed Yes | 17c | 2,271$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +480.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…e7d3backed Yes | 33c | 2,138$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 2,106$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.45 | 127 | 4.7%6 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Yes | 35c | 1,802$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18fa…3730backed Yes | 23c | 1,792$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +332.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…4590backed Yes | 13c | 1,688$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b7…4146backed Yes | 49c | 1,627$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…09aabacked Yes | 13c | 1,611$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 27cpaid | +198.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 1,544$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.53 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…5aaebacked Yes | 50c | 1,529$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd30c…02c8backed Yes | 33c | 1,515$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed Yes | 30c | 1,514$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 20c | 1,499$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ab…6473backed Yes | 64c | 1,394$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x151a…0ecebacked Yes | 80c | 1,357$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…3562backed No | 58c | 1,327$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed Yes | 52c | 1,293$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed Yes | 12c | 1,277$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +189.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…259dbacked Yes | 46c | 1,272$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed Yes | 12c | 1,260$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb065…adcebacked Yes | 75c | 1,204$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…1762backed No | 32c | 1,203$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4883…ce56backed Yes | 13c | 1,198$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf7…2a85backed Yes | 58c | 1,196$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb6…5ea0backed No | 48c | 1,190$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…c527backed Yes | 27c | 1,182$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…b5e3backed Yes | 42c | 1,142$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe838…92fbbacked Yes | 51c | 1,124$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x656c…af94backed No | 79c | 1,116$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91d…91fdbacked No | 51c | 1,059$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d2…fb68backed No | 1c | 1,056$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked No | 79c | 1,055$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 5c | 1,038$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…ebc2backed No | 58c | 1,010$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…5735backed Yes | 13c | 995$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…83dcbacked Yes | 13c | 993$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +224.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 7c | 983.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.45 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde62…64f6backed No | 69c | 967$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4a…48b1backed Yes | 12c | 958.52$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +740.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…58ccbacked Yes | 13c | 950$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +469.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 17c | 949.01$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.44 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6813…39e6backed Yes | 39c | 940$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae18…1132backed No | 76c | 925$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3e…777fbacked Yes | 14c | 920.27$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +625.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…7260backed Yes | 13c | 910$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +215.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…ab6abacked No | 71c | 878$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…6beabacked Yes | 49c | 861$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5516…2263backed Yes | 49c | 856$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…e84dbacked Yes | 26c | 844.4$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16a0…72f1backed No | 71c | 843$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d5…1caebacked Yes | 34c | 841$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 22c | 840$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.9 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 58c | 832.1$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.19 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86c5…4c23backed Yes | 13c | 823$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +375.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 73c | 820.51$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d6…9357backed No | 69c | 819$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba0…97bfbacked Yes | 37c | 816.5$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +173.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes | 13c | 813$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 29cpaid | +262.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 55c | 799.05$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.21 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaf…ee69backed Yes | 13c | 782.33$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +193.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4805backed No | 49c | 771$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506a…1b43backed No | 60c | 770$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 20c | 755.21$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.93 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6317…e864backed Yes | 13c | 746$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +358.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 17c | 745.32$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 23c | 733$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.39 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b7…d913backed Yes | 49c | 732$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203f…f7a5backed No | 49c | 730$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked Yes | 13c | 729$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +364.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bc…43e9backed Yes | 49c | 718$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…92cabacked No | 61c | 706$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04f…15babacked Yes | 33c | 700$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…73acbacked Yes | 12c | 697.94$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…eadcbacked Yes | 21c | 685$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d04…131dbacked Yes | 49c | 681$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ba…f02dbacked Yes | 33c | 680$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 8c | 677.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 84 | 1.2%1 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 8cpaid | -98.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed No | 75c | 677$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in IPO and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?this page
- Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No won
- Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No won
- Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No won
- Will Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No won
- Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No won
- Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No won
- Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No won
- Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.