TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8996…9c76

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
173
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Weather, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 56 out of 100; worst IPO at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.25
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+71.6%+$206.19
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$102.3
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$257.43
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$82.83
Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$18.9
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$100.74
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$58.52
Will Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+39.1%+$39.1
Will Dwayne Johnson be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.92
Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+41.3%+$116.09
Will Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$228.23
Will Jafar Panahi be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+300%+$263.25
Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$60.61
Will Michael B. Jordan be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$102.83
Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$79.46
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+160.3%+$229.7
Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$209.76
Will Tiffany Little Canfield & Bernard Telsey (Wicked: For Good) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$84.48
Will Arco be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20.44
Will Little Amélie or the Character of Rain be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$36.16
Will Nina Gold (Hamnet) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+87.6%+$126.11
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+138.1%+$60.9
Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$98.4
Will Hamnet win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$347.48
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$169.4
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$56.68
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.69
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$169.94
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.69
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$208.44
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41.82
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.95
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.92
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$474.5
Will "Greenland" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$450.56
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$300.3
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$128.16
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$142.89
Nothing Ever Happens: AI Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$37.94
Will Atlas have a Windows app live by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.47
Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$93.06
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$33.12
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+35.1%+$64.48
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$17.71
Will Sam Altman say "Silicon Valley" or "Nerd" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$69.93
Will Paramount acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+73.7%+$34.38
Will KPop Demon Hunters be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+614.3%+$92.02
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2025%5 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.23
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.7
Will Anfernee Simons win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.31
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$97.02
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.52
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.95
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+400%+$48.8
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$218.46
Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.8
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.09
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.7
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$414.7
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.7
Will the Miami Heat win more than 37.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.62
Will the Utah Jazz win more than 18.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50.54
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+29.9%+$89.24
Will the Phoenix Suns win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30.14
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.2
All 20 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$523Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$139.02
Will Starmer say "Urgent" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.2
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$946Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$252.99
Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 65% and 70%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.03
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$170.75
Left-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$236.74
Will Green Left win 25-29 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$142.8
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Will GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+28.2%+$42.46
Will Keir Starmer say "Reform" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22.08
Will Keir Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+40.8%+$112.81
Will FA win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$37.8
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+100%+$18.5
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 1%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$41.55
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 1% and 2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+42.9%+$80.4
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+65.3%+$18.17
Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 25% and 30% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$138.97
Will Catalin Drula finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15.64
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.2
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+300%+$687
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.78
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.32
Will USD fall to 1.3M Iranian rials by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.58
US strikes Iraq by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$227.76
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$93.67
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+669.2%+$759.51
Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$514.8
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$155.72
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+61.3%+$157.7
Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50.32
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$50.02
Will Trump publicly disparage Netanyahu by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.33
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$61.87
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$37.44
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+96.1%+$165.62
All 18 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$123.9
Will Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$741Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$199.28
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$143.91
Will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$82.5
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$35.88
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+156.4%+$460.55
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$77.22
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$573Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$191
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.54
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+30.2%+$35.03
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+25.4%+$110.46
Will November 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$21.12
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$112
All 13 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick18cpaid+127.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$826.8
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$29.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$901Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$316.42
Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$557Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+28.2%+$157.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$84.76
Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,132Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+26.3%+$298.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aztec FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$41.04
Will Fogo launch a token by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$54.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.91
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$362.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+500.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will three people dissent the December Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+500.2%+$113.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+354.5%+$457.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$37.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Brugge advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul Break 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$648Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+29.9%+$193.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+26.7%+$5.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sydney FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$455.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.