Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88efcd978fd43e91beeb9842ad85ddd81362384957bb3e3252c471dcdd5864cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ba7…ab1fbacked No | 1c | 11,551$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed No | 0c | 8,229$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 130 | 33.1%43 W · 87 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…f003backed No | 1c | 3,300$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +11.8wins | +0.38per pick | 14cpaid | +350.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x303e…b632backed No | 1c | 1,922$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da5…25edbacked Yes | 50c | 1,746$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.22 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 40c | 1,495$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.35 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 11c | 1,454$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.94 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +151%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 11c | 1,454$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.94 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +8.6wins | +0.16per pick | 14cpaid | +154.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…f622backed Yes | 56c | 1,432$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.68 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…de95backed Yes | 55c | 1,050$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.49 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 77c | 848.56$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.56 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4c…44d8backed Yes | 54c | 794$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked Yes | 36c | 793.86$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.73 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…a8acbacked Yes | 62c | 637.16$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 70c | 614.45$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.66 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1022…d9d1backed Yes | 43c | 500$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 78c | 414.99$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.24 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 46c | 410.66$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.92 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d7…8c45backed No | 49c | 385$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.65 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…0c32backed No | 42c | 384$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.28 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.37per pick | 49cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4071…3de4backed No | 63c | 368.49$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.81 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…9c76backed Yes | 51c | 338$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.62 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…1812backed No | 57c | 293$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.01 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 55c | 284.53$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.14 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f91…d531backed Yes | 58c | 284$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 27c | 278.09$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.07 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed Yes | 52c | 267$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.16 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa65…625abacked Yes | 63c | 255.27$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f6…595cbacked No | 52c | 254$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.08 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f404backed No | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f0…d8a0backed No | 54c | 249.01$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.7 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 42c | 240.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…5b18backed No | 44c | 238$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.72 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf20…3b9ebacked No | 42c | 236.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 50c | 233.79$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.36 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fd…4373backed No | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…7406backed Yes | 53c | 220$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c0…b919backed No | 41c | 216$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.26 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f20…1855backed No | 66c | 204.31$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.95 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4abe…11ecbacked No | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…5c80backed No | 40c | 197$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…1c78backed Yes | 62c | 196.51$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.02 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…ea40backed Yes | 52c | 196$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.8 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…6b99backed No | 49c | 196$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64df…ab80backed No | 44c | 188.93$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 60c | 188.73$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.49 | 69 | 8.7%6 W · 63 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf06d…db77backed No | 47c | 185$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8ad4backed No | 41c | 184$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…ed99backed Yes | 58c | 177$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.34 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde2b…73a0backed No | 42c | 177$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…b16bbacked Yes | 60c | 174.77$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6741…9f3fbacked No | 57c | 174.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ed…aebcbacked No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf8…ded2backed Yes | 48c | 168$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes | 53c | 161.66$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 101 | 65.3%66 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…f9d4backed No | 48c | 159$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.32 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed No | 11c | 150.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 153 | 31.4%48 W · 105 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…4f06backed No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47eb…8195backed Yes | 56c | 147$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46e2…f8bbbacked Yes | 37c | 144$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.4 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked No | 50c | 139.04$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 59c | 138.01$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7775…6cb4backed Yes | 59c | 138$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…ad61backed No | 42c | 132$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8891…b5fcbacked Yes | 54c | 131.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.51 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…88adbacked No | 47c | 131$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…5d05backed No | 9c | 127.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5544…802abacked Yes | 54c | 125$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42b…7577backed No | 42c | 124$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x455f…bd63backed No | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x667f…8c3ebacked No | 42c | 119$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d26…c9f4backed Yes | 48c | 118$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b71…f1d9backed No | 45c | 115$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d82…3d02backed No | 69c | 113$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe918…d166backed Yes | 57c | 111$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…ed44backed No | 48c | 108$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…6811backed No | 43c | 107$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe244…ff50backed No | 46c | 106.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf8…c7afbacked Yes | 51c | 106.18$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…5adebacked No | 53c | 105$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…4018backed Yes | 47c | 105$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…fa2abacked Yes | 56c | 103$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6425…6159backed No | 49c | 102.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed No | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…054bbacked Yes | 58c | 99.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…9bc5backed Yes | 51c | 99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked No | 47c | 96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f7…3fd0backed No | 65c | 92.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x220f…f6a6backed No | 40c | 92.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9464…b4cbbacked Yes | 56c | 91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…92b3backed No | 39c | 91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…bcf0backed No | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711c…8495backed Yes | 58c | 87.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…2af6backed No | 46c | 87.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a8…9b29backed Yes | 48c | 86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…b2fabacked No | 71c | 81$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 12?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 13?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 16?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 18?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 28?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 29?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 31?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 10?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 13?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 16?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 17?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 22?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 24?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 26?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 28?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 29?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 4?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 8?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.