TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc5f7…3fd0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4738.3%18 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$44.52
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.64
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$97.4
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+73.5%+$36.76
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Sweden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+900%+$90
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.48
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$18.41
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+348.5%+$174.24
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.07
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$141.53
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Top Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+88.3%+$53
LoL: DRX Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+31.6%+$21.34
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+50%+$75.49
LoL: DRX vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+26.4%+$4.98
LoL: Los Ratones vs Fnatic (BO1)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+40.8%+$24.51
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+43.3%+$32.96
LoL: GAM Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+90%+$60.29
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$14.23
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$108.88
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+58.1%+$34.84
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13.92
LoL: Colossal Gaming vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (BO1)backed Colossal Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+58.7%+$58.73
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+57.3%+$61.82
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+100%+$55.81
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+459.8%+$137.95
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+45.1%+$324.85
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+33.4%+$6.68
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 1 to January 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+43.3%+$17.31
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+58%+$17.4
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+52.7%+$31.6
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+40.2%+$72.33
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+104.1%+$128.52
All 14 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla dip to $405 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+75.3%+$90.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+37%+$14.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.