TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bilibili Gamingof Weibo Gaming, Bilibili Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$215,621
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$265,910

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,621 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef26…05babacked Weibo Gaming19c11,019$2,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,140.671,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Bilibili Gaming70c7,149$4,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,152.8225751%131 W · 126 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4840…41f3backed Weibo Gaming2c7,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140623.2%2 W · 60 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-77.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2997…6c34backed Bilibili Gaming71c4,592$3,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.0610653.8%57 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked Weibo Gaming1c4,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606297%44 W · 585 L-2.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x863f…4c5bbacked Weibo Gaming37c4,353$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,610.49742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Bilibili Gaming64c4,218$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,517.9280832.9%266 W · 542 L-43.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Weibo Gaming35c4,215$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.843,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Weibo Gaming33c3,809$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.864045%18 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe795…8caebacked Bilibili Gaming80c3,799$3,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.6820354.7%111 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x060d…1094backed Weibo Gaming17c3,537$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.6620621.8%45 W · 161 L-18.1wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-50.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Weibo Gaming33c3,377$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.72,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Bilibili Gaming75c3,350$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.2312338.2%47 W · 76 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf353…b287backed Weibo Gaming16c3,259$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.9923915.9%38 W · 201 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcae6…4f85backed Bilibili Gaming72c3,089$2,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.4667276.9%517 W · 155 L+87.3wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc080…ef26backed Weibo Gaming7c2,690$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.993622.2%8 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c38…1218backed Bilibili Gaming78c2,598$2,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.5521448.1%103 W · 111 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Weibo Gaming38c2,500$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.421,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Bilibili Gaming63c2,314$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.2648448.6%235 W · 249 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Weibo Gaming14c2,163$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.661,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x002f…6a4ebacked Weibo Gaming33c2,163$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.772744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Weibo Gaming40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.7721740.1%87 W · 130 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Weibo Gaming33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.991,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cdb…4d30backed Bilibili Gaming63c1,944$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.124562.2%28 W · 17 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+35.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked Weibo Gaming35c1,882$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.4710446.2%48 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Weibo Gaming36c1,762$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.3584041%344 W · 496 L-38.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed Weibo Gaming29c1,702$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.5818741.2%77 W · 110 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Bilibili Gaming71c1,600$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46446153.6%247 W · 214 L-24.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Bilibili Gaming68c1,556$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.4811548.7%56 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5784…6788backed Bilibili Gaming65c1,508$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.916259.7%37 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d69…7e98backed Weibo Gaming11c1,501$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.0218914.8%28 W · 161 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-39.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked Weibo Gaming40c1,493$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.5521848.6%106 W · 112 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf73d…80e7backed Bilibili Gaming67c1,492$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.58887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick63cpaid+40.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Weibo Gaming23c1,459$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.1413525.2%34 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Weibo Gaming31c1,425$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.9231153.4%166 W · 145 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Bilibili Gaming65c1,417$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.8870443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Weibo Gaming4c1,396$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8285746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Bilibili Gaming67c1,324$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.254042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00df…0d23backed Weibo Gaming15c1,317$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009852%51 W · 47 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Weibo Gaming27c1,250$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.682,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Weibo Gaming24c1,250$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022250.5%112 W · 110 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Weibo Gaming36c1,248$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.1924529.8%73 W · 172 L-0.9wins0.00per pick30cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed Bilibili Gaming66c1,200$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40850547.7%241 W · 264 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa58f…fd67backed Weibo Gaming9c1,143$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.1426346.8%123 W · 140 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Bilibili Gaming62c1,128$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.6423439.7%93 W · 141 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Weibo Gaming6c1,125$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.545618.9%86 W · 370 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa77f…e578backed Weibo Gaming23c1,100$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2536139.3%24 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Weibo Gaming34c1,100$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.921,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08b3…48a9backed Weibo Gaming37c1,079$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.851,02148%490 W · 531 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Bilibili Gaming61c1,041$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.0650643.1%218 W · 288 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Weibo Gaming7c1,000$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743020%6 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8307…ad90backed Weibo Gaming3c1,000$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32429.5%4 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick5cpaid+64.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc903…b175backed Weibo Gaming37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37017744.6%79 W · 98 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Bilibili Gaming62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38013040.8%53 W · 77 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Weibo Gaming34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34082352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Weibo Gaming33c999.99$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Bilibili Gaming78c999.99$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.661,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67ca…9e85backed Weibo Gaming31c952.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Bilibili Gaming66c936.12$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.7715551.6%80 W · 75 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Bilibili Gaming62c927.61$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.3340232.8%132 W · 270 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad4b…e93dbacked Weibo Gaming33c912.08$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011037.3%41 W · 69 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x395f…dcacbacked Bilibili Gaming67c891.85$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.8526245.8%120 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9064…1d36backed Weibo Gaming36c879.43$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.41747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf93…9210backed Weibo Gaming35c849.98$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked Bilibili Gaming67c839.73$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.7118755.1%103 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79d1…68b3backed Weibo Gaming8c800$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622420.8%5 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick13cpaid+38.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2484…d405backed Weibo Gaming37c799.99$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29650%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Weibo Gaming12c783.01$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.117735.1%27 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4aef…08f5backed Weibo Gaming1c700$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10205%1 W · 19 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick4cpaid+14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Weibo Gaming37c700$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2591,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed Weibo Gaming32c685.61$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.5531644.3%140 W · 176 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Bilibili Gaming71c666$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.1420764.3%133 W · 74 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57d9…eb87backed Weibo Gaming5c660$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf180…9235backed Weibo Gaming18c649.09$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206732.8%22 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Weibo Gaming29c645.51$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.275342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec53…d7e2backed Weibo Gaming11c627.93$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.25933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+49.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bilibili Gaming70c625.67$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.5885046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Bilibili Gaming68c600$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19242148.2%203 W · 218 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81d…b365backed Weibo Gaming34c600$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.7426865.7%176 W · 92 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed Bilibili Gaming66c599.98$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.9967763.4%429 W · 248 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked Weibo Gaming37c583.6$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.32763%17 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6801…654bbacked Weibo Gaming23c579.82$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.231546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x080d…db3ebacked Weibo Gaming42c567.15$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.77757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Bilibili Gaming67c556.92$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.351,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Weibo Gaming37c544.59$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048652.1%253 W · 233 L+2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Weibo Gaming36c528.04$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18970752.9%374 W · 333 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Weibo Gaming27c517.61$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.091,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x871e…6566backed Weibo Gaming37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1857763.6%49 W · 28 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe949…33bebacked Bilibili Gaming60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20012854.7%70 W · 58 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Weibo Gaming4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029335.2%103 W · 190 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Weibo Gaming25c493$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.0969041.3%285 W · 405 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Weibo Gaming35c451.01$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1581,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba18…9568backed Bilibili Gaming63c450$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68bb…7148backed Bilibili Gaming67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.768757.5%50 W · 37 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfabf…2814backed Bilibili Gaming75c446.18$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.715949.2%29 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Weibo Gaming5c445.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3294134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf540…cc07backed Weibo Gaming46c438.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015846.8%74 W · 84 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7463…5850backed Weibo Gaming43c438.32$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.481553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Weibo Gaming33c438.02$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.731,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecd3…4285backed Weibo Gaming37c405.41$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-61.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.