TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc080…ef26

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 49 out of 100 (-0.01 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category NBA at 49 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST3622.2%8 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$68.57
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$200
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 3?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+73.4%+$14.68
Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 5?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$400
LoL: Team Vitality vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+150%+$300
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$87.3
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$200
LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$13.13
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+177.8%+$339.87
LoL: LYON vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$400
LoL: paiN Gaming vs RED Canids (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Seasonbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.73
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs Leviatan Esports (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Seasonbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+56.3%+$112.5
LoL: RED Canids vs LOUD (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Seasonbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+809.1%+$220.31
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$200
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$290
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs RED Canids (BO1)backed Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$839Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$838.86
LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic (BO1)backed SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+95.9%+$191.71
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters (BO1)backed Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$144.71
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$300
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$202.56
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO1)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+142.7%+$285.47
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO1)backed GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$104.91
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs REKONIX (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.