TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Movistar KOIof Natus Vincere, Movistar KOI
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$323,445
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$386,260

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $323,445 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef26…05babacked Natus Vincere35c16,217$5,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,653.571,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0775…b0c5backed Movistar KOI62c13,502$8,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,141.1525547.8%122 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5fc…d802backed Natus Vincere3c13,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370263.8%1 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-90.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed Movistar KOI64c12,608$8,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,552.9548157.6%277 W · 204 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Movistar KOI62c9,759$6,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,734.4828361.5%174 W · 109 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Natus Vincere43c8,521$3,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,665.761,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53e7…4704backed Movistar KOI59c7,074$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,874.39850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Natus Vincere41c5,608$2,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,282.541,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ae…04b2backed Natus Vincere46c5,022$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3006842.6%29 W · 39 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Movistar KOI54c5,000$2,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,279.993,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Natus Vincere44c5,000$2,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,211.9681143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb726…0664backed Natus Vincere40c4,991$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001540%6 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Movistar KOI55c4,327$2,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,947.2982352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed Natus Vincere46c4,314$1,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,996.5843151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked Movistar KOI51c4,027$2,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,978.318056.3%45 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed Movistar KOI65c4,007$2,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.3145248%217 W · 235 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90f6…71eebacked Movistar KOI56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76014041.4%58 W · 82 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5419…fcb2backed Natus Vincere41c3,481$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,421.253357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Movistar KOI49c3,270$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655.122,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Natus Vincere49c3,104$1,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,530.7544047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe62d…18b4backed Natus Vincere35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.65860.3%35 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…6130backed Movistar KOI62c2,881$1,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.7814757.1%84 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x689a…97a4backed Natus Vincere40c2,716$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.539741.2%40 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Movistar KOI73c2,713$1,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.351,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Natus Vincere31c2,568$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.969756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Movistar KOI64c2,500$1,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.291,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Movistar KOI74c2,256$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.125952.9%137 W · 122 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Natus Vincere37c2,200$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8161,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa50b…74b2backed Natus Vincere51c1,967$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010443.3%45 W · 59 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed Movistar KOI44c1,959$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.8214644.5%65 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Movistar KOI65c1,855$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.61747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Movistar KOI61c1,766$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.2685746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf344…13ffbacked Movistar KOI57c1,765$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.5728166.5%187 W · 94 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a35…9015backed Natus Vincere61c1,692$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.9836943.9%162 W · 207 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Movistar KOI61c1,533$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.6770162.2%436 W · 265 L-37.3wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7ad…4c93backed Natus Vincere47c1,527$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.722958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Movistar KOI61c1,396$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.832,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5ecd…0787backed Movistar KOI79c1,353$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.137052.9%37 W · 33 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Movistar KOI55c1,347$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.311,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71f8…4a8fbacked Movistar KOI40c1,292$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+43.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Movistar KOI55c1,146$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.6942840.2%172 W · 256 L-32.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere33c1,139$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.41,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Natus Vincere31c1,112$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.642,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Natus Vincere45c1,090$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.2853640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0563…8b03backed Movistar KOI51c1,080$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.468443.6%298 W · 386 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Movistar KOI51c1,060$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.632,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere38c1,012$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.271,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Natus Vincere53c1,009$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.431,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Natus Vincere45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9445739.6%181 W · 276 L-37.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Movistar KOI57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43079653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Natus Vincere44c999.98$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.9963546.6%296 W · 339 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf459…7a53backed Movistar KOI57c998.68$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.4321655.1%119 W · 97 L+0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Natus Vincere53c968.99$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.1285652.2%447 W · 409 L+34.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked Movistar KOI55c930.32$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.6495847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Natus Vincere44c910$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.42,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb24f…c638backed Natus Vincere44c909.52$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020051.5%103 W · 97 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere38c842.98$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.5485442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc62b…625dbacked Movistar KOI56c800$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3523441.2%14 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-25.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Natus Vincere44c800$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35229236%105 W · 187 L-0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc840…16d6backed Natus Vincere41c790.74$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.2422.4%1 W · 41 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-92.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Natus Vincere43c781.7$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.131,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Movistar KOI56c780$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.21,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf91c…baa7backed Movistar KOI56c779.1$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.5133748.4%163 W · 174 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c0…13b5backed Movistar KOI56c742.66$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.7721954.3%119 W · 100 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed Movistar KOI56c721.2$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.331,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Movistar KOI57c701.95$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.9546552.7%245 W · 220 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed Movistar KOI66c700$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23850569.9%353 W · 152 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Natus Vincere24c700$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1681,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d98…7e3fbacked Movistar KOI36c692.98$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.982254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Movistar KOI55c640.61$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2771249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Natus Vincere23c636.61$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.211,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16d8…ba9ebacked Natus Vincere44c635.08$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.4111141.4%46 W · 65 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Natus Vincere52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31240347.4%191 W · 212 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Movistar KOI63c597.21$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.9757947.3%274 W · 305 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc080…ef26backed Natus Vincere17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003622.2%8 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Natus Vincere62c578.27$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.991,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Natus Vincere63c556.18$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.7760053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Movistar KOI58c534.48$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.4896057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0f…fe01backed Natus Vincere47c532.79$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24836260.5%219 W · 143 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere35c507.07$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.811,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Movistar KOI45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2751,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0e6…7358backed Natus Vincere52c500$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.226344.9%118 W · 145 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf540…cc07backed Natus Vincere49c494.09$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24015846.8%74 W · 84 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere39c479.68$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.151,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed Movistar KOI65c477.16$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.5115953.5%85 W · 74 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Movistar KOI61c464.47$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.5654944.4%244 W · 305 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Natus Vincere40c453$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.5737345%168 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Movistar KOI56c450$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19695951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8fb…d9d0backed Natus Vincere45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010457.7%60 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1173…1d74backed Movistar KOI57c438.6$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.633040.3%133 W · 197 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Natus Vincere51c433$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.6945344.6%202 W · 251 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb734…fc38backed Movistar KOI49c421.42$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.417568%51 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Movistar KOI55c413.39$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.621,07926%281 W · 798 L-99.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Natus Vincere64c400$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.6630661.1%187 W · 119 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Movistar KOI51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1961,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed Natus Vincere44c400$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17450547.7%241 W · 264 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x741e…9014backed Natus Vincere14c400$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578121%17 W · 64 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Movistar KOI53c399$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.292,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076b…dbfabacked Natus Vincere23c393.74$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9017646.6%82 W · 94 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Natus Vincere70c385.28$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.