Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0672e4da03e4abc5e8334c20d1a1681310314503c424a546a80808ac0c774e96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c26…69c2backed Over | 49c | 18,046$8,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,842.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee57…7c0dbacked Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6b…8e67backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f69…1ffebacked Under | 51c | 4,029$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e1…d3bbbacked Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5083…9cbdbacked Under | 51c | 2,042$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.71 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…f99ebacked Under | 51c | 2,017$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.48 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6c…8f4ebacked Under | 51c | 2,013$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9726…892ebacked Under | 51c | 1,975$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.87 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd248…3b58backed Under | 51c | 1,970$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 47c | 997$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.57 | 130 | 30.8%40 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 53c | 700$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed Under | 52c | 383.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.26 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 52c | 360$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.8 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 48c | 320.95$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.06 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed Under | 52c | 199.3$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.66 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 48c | 193.77$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.09 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…fe01backed Over | 65c | 153.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 362 | 60.5%219 W · 143 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…8f48backed Over | 52c | 140$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x706a…0d4abacked Over | 51c | 98.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 52c | 87.73$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…8a1bbacked Over | 50c | 80.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe1…a6ebbacked Over | 47c | 59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x874d…c888backed Under | 53c | 59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Under | 49c | 50.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d31…1ff3backed Under | 51c | 50.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 47.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Over | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…89a4backed Under | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Movistar KOI won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Versus PlayoffsMovistar KOI won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerMovistar KOI won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerMovistar KOI won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.