TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x625f…89a4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.36
Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Spread: Bucks (-2.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.11
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$35.3
Mavericks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+44.9%+$29.76
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$36.67
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+93.1%+$33.27
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+87.8%+$18.23
Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+122.2%+$15.95
Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+104.1%+$30.6
Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+119.4%+$22.86
Suns vs. Spurs: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+83.3%+$19.54
Rockets vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 103.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$19.22
Pistons vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$21.45
Nets vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 118.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$39.69
1H Spread: Rockets (-1.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+99.6%+$36.43
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+57.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$29.25
Flames vs. Kingsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46.8
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+138.1%+$17.98
Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30.68
KHL: Barys Astana vs. Shanghai Dragonsbacked Shanghai Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+108.3%+$10.92
All 5 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+49.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-51.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Felipe Bunes vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Cháirez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+45.3%+$10.91
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14.41
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$27.36
All 3 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+145.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+109.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+75.3%+$13.75
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+143.9%+$24.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$41.65
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Clash Group Alphabacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$17.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. Panathinaikós AO: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11.73
AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. HNK Rijeka: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+80.5%+$10.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-17.5)backed Creighton Bluejays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+85.7%+$23.54
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Penn State Nittany Lions: O/U 149.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$33.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: AL (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12.81
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+88.7%+$8.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alec Pierce be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$22.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Metz: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+92.3%+$16.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rick Scott vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$13.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Uranium (USD/LBS) hit $80 (LOW) by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$12.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid's HIP-4 upgrade go live on mainnet by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$16.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Group C - Denmark vs. Latviabacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$22.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$18.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.