La Liga · resolved market
CD Leganés vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf00af0a1821c3905d23a16d1d70208d74c5fed9b94c5bde86f52150b97d6033a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 545.12$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.2 | 4,846 | 47%2,279 W · 2,567 L | -17.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 449.79$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.39 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 61c | 377.78$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.78 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 28c | 260.78$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.09 | 2,381 | 48.3%1,151 W · 1,230 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Under | 10c | 219.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 64 | 12.5%8 W · 56 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Under | 11c | 154$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 32c | 127.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.04 | 3,546 | 42.7%1,514 W · 2,032 L | +28.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 66c | 113.64$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 342 | 50%171 W · 171 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Over | 56c | 101.8$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 27c | 76.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +9.0wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe1…a6ebbacked Over | 69c | 66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x874d…c888backed Under | 31c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Under | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…29c5backed Over | 68c | 59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 72c | 57.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 1,669 | 43.8%731 W · 938 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…9b98backed Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d2…b34bbacked Under | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 29c | 48.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 1,635 | 51.6%844 W · 791 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 37c | 40.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 59c | 38.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…89a4backed Under | 30c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…68c1backed Over | 70c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc484…4123backed Over | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Leganés vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 1.5this page
- CD Leganés vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Leganés vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Leganés vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.