TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc484…4123

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+110.2%+$31.45
Spread: Bucks (-2.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.41
Spread: Bucks (-1.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$8.3
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+63.9%+$30.81
Bucks vs. Pelicans: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+96.1%+$22.54
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 243.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$19.27
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.1
Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+168.3%+$18.82
Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$23.7
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.75
Rockets vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 103.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+88.7%+$11.75
Pacers vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 113.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$13.53
1H Spread: Rockets (-1.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$16.47
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Kings make the NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$13.02
Flames vs. Kingsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.22
Devils vs. Bluesbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$11.75
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16.24
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.28
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+56.7%+$35.46
Devils vs. Penguinsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$14.06
Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+108.3%+$11.44
Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+85.2%+$28.06
Maple Leafs vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.26
KHL: SKA St. Petersburg vs. CSKA Moscowbacked SKA St. Petersburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.84
KHL: Barys Astana vs. Shanghai Dragonsbacked Barys Astana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$42.12
KHL: Traktor vs. Severstal Cherepovetsbacked Traktor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-60.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+60.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-64.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+96.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+116.6%+$15.07
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+117.4%+$26.46
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+54.4%+$13.03
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+44.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+44%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: AL (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+154.9%+$53.48
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+77%+$20.01
LoL: SPAXFAMILY vs Priority - Game 1 Winnerbacked SPAXFAMILY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$24.18
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. HNK Rijeka: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
FC Drita vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+117.4%+$32.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.78
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+95.3%+$30.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18.09
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$18.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AFC Ajax vs. NEC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$27.72
Konyaspor vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+194.1%+$56.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+125.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+125.3%+$14.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 1) - Who wins the toss?backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+66.1%+$18.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of February 16 above $390?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+32.1%+$8.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will North West release an album by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $72 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alec Pierce be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rick Scott vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.