Premier League · resolved market
Crystal Palace FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4eb571cbd86b05b545f6bf23035826d551873a306da16c086d380cfa051c2ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b62…b97cbacked No | 73c | 1,289$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 28c | 719.05$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.88 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 46c | 415.14$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.87 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 349.19$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.17 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 330.51$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.56 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 7c | 245.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa296…743dbacked Yes | 54c | 187.33$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.93 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 53c | 115$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.94 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 317 | 46.1%146 W · 171 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ac…d145backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 71c | 89.16$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…b48bbacked Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x383e…d998backed Yes | 51c | 70.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9468…dc7dbacked Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…81a9backed Yes | 38c | 39.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…7820backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61bc…d436backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6c…2bf7backed No | 48c | 36.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc989…ad9fbacked No | 48c | 29.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd00e…fb86backed No | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked No | 47c | 28.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c0…dac7backed No | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc484…4123backed Yes | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.