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Premier League · resolved market

Crystal Palace FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,215
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,597

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,215 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34f6…4535backed Over30c59,907$17,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,96230%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under70c24,978$17,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,493.34,87441.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under70c3,756$2,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.1346943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under69c3,003$2,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.932,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under70c3,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90013662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under71c3,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87051750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under70c3,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under72c2,342$1,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.787748.2%423 W · 454 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over23c1,768$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.767829.5%23 W · 55 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Under73c1,100$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29711161.3%68 W · 43 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under71c1,002$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.5518561.6%114 W · 71 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Under69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3104156.1%23 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over28c818$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.0472249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under70c800$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24036956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Under72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.441154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under72c600$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16823757%135 W · 102 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over20c553$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.623926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14525836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under72c499.99$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14037342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11213565.2%88 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over14c376.92$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.188041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over13c318.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016045.6%73 W · 87 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under72c303$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2525348.2%122 W · 131 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9035056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9060757.3%348 W · 259 L+24.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over28c279.68$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9452454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under70c250$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7559958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under70c250$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7537557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f63…4fe9backed Over13c223.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3160…e846backed Over9c213.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed Under73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547648.7%37 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Under73c197.34$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.283946.2%18 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d59…811bbacked Over10c189$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.82213.6%3 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-43.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.993256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed Under78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.218858%51 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3633156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3646660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3632255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3633057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3632656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3636758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3632755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3656158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3638358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3631557.8%182 W · 133 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1798…8ff4backed Under73c114.33$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.87560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3029657.8%171 W · 125 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa6c…a67dbacked Under75c95.76$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.884650%23 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe62e…8147backed Under73c94.95$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.642050%10 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+91.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7daf…ee4dbacked Over27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018265.9%120 W · 62 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4427748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4931747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over25c65.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.781,78634.9%623 W · 1,163 L-34.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Under70c60$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1814560%87 W · 58 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under70c60$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1828458.8%167 W · 117 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under70c60$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1827758.8%163 W · 114 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under70c60$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1825560%153 W · 102 L+18.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x328b…6885backed Over28c58.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.43250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1526259.5%156 W · 106 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1527661.6%170 W · 106 L+22.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1531359.4%186 W · 127 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x845e…3ed3backed Under73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under70c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1225858.1%150 W · 108 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Under70c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1225558.8%150 W · 105 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38e3…b524backed Under73c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.81080%8 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+38.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129231.5%29 W · 63 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x546e…ec0cbacked Under73c35.86$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.683458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdae4…a102backed Under73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.11163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02f4…4effbacked Under77c29.07$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.574555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9c0…62b2backed Under72c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.841050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd32a…640fbacked Under72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.781471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+34.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x95fe…3896backed Under73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab1d…3204backed Under73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+29.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under80c25.15$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0313152.7%69 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68be…6bccbacked Under73c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.75450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Under71c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.089053.3%48 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea9b…2be5backed Under73c22.86$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.177663.2%48 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2678…cef5backed Under73c21.88$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.912100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+153.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca53…195fbacked Under73c20.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.556261.3%38 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Under73c20.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.552356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Under73c20.15$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.446556.9%37 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Under71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.810569.5%73 W · 32 L+10.3wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x935e…6a6bbacked Under73c19.93$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick69cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb03…ddcebacked Under73c19.42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.241080%8 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+30.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Under73c19.32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.228463.1%53 W · 31 L+10.8wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under70c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.341,70752.8%902 W · 805 L+31.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3de…fe0ebacked Under73c17.17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.642157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfd0…f477backed Under73c16.86$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.55666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc3…9f73backed Under73c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9279…ed18backed Under72c14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.921758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5753…fa31backed Under73c13.71$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.71464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+56%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.