TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf9c0…62b2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,504Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$746.1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$39.9
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$165.74
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+99%+$19.9
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$586Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$148.39
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+123.5%+$66.3
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+95.6%+$39.1
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$64
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.16
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$640.2
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$198.4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$734Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$733.89
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.42
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$62.24
US strikes Iraq by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.4
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.5
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+206.7%+$67.4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$11.96
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$413.52
All 24 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Jessica Hinojosabacked Jessica Hinojosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.07
Cincinnati Open: Cameron Norrie vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
San Marino: Facundo Acosta vs Francesco Fortibacked Francesco Forti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.7
Vancouver: Kayla Day vs Mai Hontamabacked Kayla Day · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Arthur Fils vs Rafael Jodarbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.47
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Mackenzie McDonaldbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$9.47
Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstatbacked Zdenek Kolar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Abedallah Shelbayhbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
Palermo: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Lucia Bronzetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$21.06
Tampere: Henri Squire vs Otto Virtanenbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$11.9
Heilbronn: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Henri Squirebacked Henri Squire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$37.69
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.5
Portsmouth FC vs. Derby County FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.2
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$46
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+34.7%+$4.89
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+103.5%+$71.2
Crystal Palace FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.84
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-69.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+92.3%+$96
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$28.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$28.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+123.2%+$441.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+89%+$47.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Betis Balompié vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+82.2%+$76.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$68.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechiabacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$17.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$611Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$611.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.