TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$300,730
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$335,086

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $300,730 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3eb0…6a68backed Over43c98,510$42,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,150.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under57c58,479$33,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,290.132650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under46c28,289$12,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,998.7837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over40c21,097$8,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,596.983447.1%16 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+42.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under65c20,550$13,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,347.8230828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c18,602$11,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,163.482,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under57c11,919$6,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,793.831838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over44c11,364$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,363.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d67…6b86backed Under57c8,772$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-44.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under50c8,690$4,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,374.062536%9 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under70c8,285$5,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,769.9134239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a8f…e5f5backed Over39c8,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,900540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over46c6,545$2,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,566.311,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over49c5,344$2,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,709.4912350.4%62 W · 61 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80012657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over44c4,500$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,52018923.8%45 W · 144 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Under71c3,625$2,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,573.92650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6129…0807backed Over26c3,333$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,467.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+285.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over34c3,158$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,070.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+94.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under56c2,751$1,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540.636659.1%39 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd8aa…7b9bbacked Under59c2,542$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over20c2,500$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.024247.6%20 W · 22 L+7.8wins+0.19per pick29cpaid+82.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over53c2,343$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.2551139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under5c2,095$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.43714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-73.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under56c1,785$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.66936.2%25 W · 44 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Under59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc6…9c5cbacked Under56c1,500$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-56.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa36f…180bbacked Under50c1,315$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.49450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb511…e800backed Under57c1,221$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+53.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over48c1,199$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.632770.4%19 W · 8 L+5.5wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+42.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over42c1,158$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.8822545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Under69c1,157$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under46c1,076$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.751258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed Over50c1,054$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over44c1,024$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.442560%15 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5602748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003571.4%25 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under56c947.78$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.4827453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under52c922.74$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.82475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+32.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fae…b849backed Over44c909.09$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+85.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under62c898.43$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under41c853.85$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.937742.9%33 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over45c841.07$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.275843.1%25 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over44c800$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4483650%18 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under57c790$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.32842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3169…21b4backed Under71c733.96$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under51c610.47$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.4939740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under56c585$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.65158.8%30 W · 21 L+6.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+31.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c518.73$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.5568750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Over55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2251338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x734e…edbdbacked Over42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.19250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ee3…a899backed Over42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.19728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-40.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Over16c456.9$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+207.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26a4…5a9cbacked Over51c431.37$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over47c430.42$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.7319042.6%81 W · 109 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e49…5166backed Over48c413.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Under45c408.46$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1842045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90cf…6cc2backed Under77c406.76$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under63c359.33$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.951637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over50c334.17$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.64940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-35.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Over44c329.21$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.361770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd04…c5e1backed Under61c318.46$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under55c303.64$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.4198544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over77c300.57$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4323345.1%105 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Under58c300.12$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7525…fd3cbacked Over44c280.91$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+83.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc820…49debacked Under72c277.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under62c255$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.095339.6%21 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under59c228$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.382025%5 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-48.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over50c213.79$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.78875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b13…37dbbacked Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xced4…5055backed Over13c200$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1751118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick12cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9c0…62b2backed Under71c200$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over31c196.25$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.5349850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over51c189$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.193655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under52c184.03$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-62.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20bf…2be9backed Over42c184$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.721656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over48c177.36$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.83557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under58c174.72$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.692634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-35.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d40…ba95backed Over44c171.81$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65ee…3240backed Over44c159.09$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.09425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d77…9b9dbacked Over44c153.61$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+116.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under59c151.59$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.978958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9152…abfbbacked Under75c146.79$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.09580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under74c144.44$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3491043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b23…6b2bbacked Under56c139.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under55c137.84$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3241954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0b1…f219backed Over43c128.26$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.26933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over44c125$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under56c124.19$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.341947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over26c116.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.2718125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xca75…05a6backed Under48c112.35$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Under61c108.2$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Over70c100.65$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.571855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over26c100.08$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.986155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528962.9%56 W · 33 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+35.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Over44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over46c99.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.494553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507846.2%36 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.