Serie A · resolved market
Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04ae248b626d2c6d036d40512f2bba39788b498dfefece800b9d2fd9eee87692
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 28c | 21,923$6,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,228.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 71c | 14,550$10,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,177.43 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 8,126$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448.42 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 29c | 5,701$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.91 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…17eabacked Under | 1c | 5,494$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 75c | 4,430$3,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.01 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…db2fbacked Under | 26c | 4,044$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.84 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -65%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Under | 10c | 2,446$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Over | 61c | 684.01$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 26c | 551.17$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Over | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 73c | 361.5$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.09 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 9c | 352.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e27…08edbacked Over | 75c | 348.06$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 9c | 258.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2276…a73abacked Under | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 35c | 192.35$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.05 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 35c | 192.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.05 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 34c | 169$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 20c | 161.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5e…b4afbacked Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 32c | 101.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Under | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 71c | 86$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeae…b339backed Over | 75c | 84.75$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 79c | 73.94$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 75c | 70.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed Over | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 35c | 52.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 21c | 51.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -55%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed Over | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 73c | 46.54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 72c | 35.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Under | 35c | 35.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 35c | 34.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…dfcfbacked Over | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 62c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 72c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 65c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 181 | 25.4%46 W · 135 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 0.5this page
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: AC Milan (-2.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)AC Milan won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: AC Milan O/U 0.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: AC Milan O/U 1.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: Torino FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: Torino FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: Torino FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: Torino FC O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.