Serie A · resolved market
Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05e7da44166bbf6f5eebfe8dad863f682af8d6d816a65602681b4fdce4d05f52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 25c | 2,126$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.8 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 9c | 1,849$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.68 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 24c | 1,579$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.6 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Over | 28c | 999.96$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 77c | 937$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.51 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 77c | 929$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.99 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 24c | 873.97$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.75 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 75c | 868.19$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.26 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Under | 80c | 558.48$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.7 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 77c | 264$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 23c | 230.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…882dbacked Under | 75c | 213.81$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 24c | 203.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 10c | 152.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 181 | 25.4%46 W · 135 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefe4…8f49backed Under | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed Over | 12c | 134.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 76c | 132.71$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Over | 24c | 114.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 24c | 109.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Over | 24c | 87.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 23c | 71.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…f219backed Over | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Under | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 25c | 61.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 76c | 54.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 77c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Under | 78c | 46.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 28c | 39.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Under | 72c | 23.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed Under | 75c | 19.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 74c | 18.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 74c | 16.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: AC Milan (-2.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)AC Milan won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: AC Milan O/U 0.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: AC Milan O/U 1.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: Torino FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: Torino FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: Torino FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: Torino FC O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.