TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Torino FC vs. AC Milan: Torino FC O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,904
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,901

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,904 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under6c653$40 inLost-$40.2230828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under44c248.92$110 inLost-$110.1151139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3662…0e48backed Over60c166.67$100 inWon+$66.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa0…aa66backed Over60c165$99 inWon+$661872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under40c165$66 inLost-$6642347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over18c136.45$25 inWon+$111.8912350.4%62 W · 61 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Over64c117.31$75 inWon+$42.314949%24 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under69c114.9$79 inLost-$78.812,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under36c110.96$40 inLost-$39.9822545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5266…aac8backed Over30c100$30 inWon+$70475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+122.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under35c61.54$22 inLost-$21.548962.9%56 W · 33 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcfc4…3b73backed Over65c61.54$40 inWon+$21.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked Over40c50.55$20 inWon+$30.554953.1%26 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over36c50$18 inWon+$32.234553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d41…6a2ebacked Over29c43.82$13 inWon+$30.98757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+42.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Over29c36.45$11 inWon+$25.921050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over59c29$17 inWon+$11.8946742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Over57c20$11 inWon+$8.62250%11 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-1.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.