Serie A · resolved market
Torino FC vs. AC Milan: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c2f782a0ef0fc15093a451dd47f54b474385ac34583d448916e4c75d23790d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e85…4e03backed Over | 23c | 2,373$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 2,068$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.22 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…c32abacked Over | 65c | 858.11$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 69c | 489.91$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.04 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 77c | 470.5$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.21 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 50c | 305.16$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.58 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 5c | 248.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd60d…af6bbacked Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 30c | 145.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 31c | 112.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.58 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e93…80d6backed Over | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8195…3fedbacked Over | 47c | 49.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Over | 47c | 47.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 68c | 30.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 66c | 26.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: AC Milan (-2.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)AC Milan won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: AC Milan O/U 0.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: AC Milan O/U 1.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: Torino FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: Torino FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: Torino FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: Torino FC O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.