Serie A · resolved market
Torino FC vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25392c56be5e8ca1b8bae86e92accb219c4a829e66b64cff21668b6406eaacf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Yes | 48c | 12,024$5,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,252.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x620b…2e9fbacked No | 52c | 9,763$5,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,076.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f00…73cebacked Yes | 48c | 3,371$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 51c | 2,051$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.45 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 54c | 1,928$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.29 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e63…ed53backed Yes | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 50c | 1,159$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.4 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 1,096$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.76 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…4e03backed Yes | 55c | 1,036$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 52c | 1,009$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.78 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 71c | 878.21$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.07 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 78c | 700$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…8586backed No | 5c | 564.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9732…cd57backed No | 5c | 545.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked No | 6c | 541.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 47c | 498.67$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.3 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…038ebacked No | 4c | 486.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd00c…8154backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 49c | 320.6$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.26 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed No | 8c | 248$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 50c | 240$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.61 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Yes | 67c | 224.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.74 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.29per pick | 63cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 65c | 222.06$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.87 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed No | 7c | 212$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 211.5$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.81 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 49c | 194.83$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked No | 10c | 185.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…317abacked Yes | 23c | 158$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +239.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Yes | 15c | 146.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.67 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 48c | 137.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.23 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 52c | 132.69$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.69 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 51c | 98.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.11 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…f219backed Yes | 47c | 96.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 50c | 88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb99b…b581backed Yes | 30c | 80$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 46c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Yes | 39c | 71.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 49c | 66.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d77…9b9dbacked Yes | 44c | 65.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 75c | 61.56$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…b9b3backed Yes | 43c | 58.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 51c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 23c | 48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 181 | 25.4%46 W · 135 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 49c | 39.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 50c | 39.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 52c | 38.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…b045backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 75c | 36.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b8…4a59backed No | 65c | 36.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Yes | 33c | 33.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…2348backed Yes | 47c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +78%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 61c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…770ebacked Yes | 51c | 26.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…ba95backed Yes | 51c | 25.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 49c | 25.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 54c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed No | 52c | 23.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x724d…e4dabacked Yes | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…47fdbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: AC Milan (-2.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)AC Milan won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: AC Milan O/U 0.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: AC Milan O/U 1.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: Torino FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: Torino FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: Torino FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: Torino FC O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.