TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8a92…8586

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
138
Categories scored
34
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Asian League, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 60 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick10cpaid-62.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "Gianni" or "Infantino" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.53
Morgan Rogers: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.49
Brahim Díaz: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Ivan Perišić: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Ghana to score first vs. Panama?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Ghana vs. Panama: Ghana O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
England vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+534.1%+$74.76
Amad Diallo: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.66
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 17 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.26per pick10cpaid+110.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
CA Aldosivi vs. CA Unión: CA Unión O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will SC Internacional vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito: Mirassol FC 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+458.9%+$64.24
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Red Bull Bragantino O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Spread: Mirassol FC (-1.5)backed Grêmio FBPA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+435.7%+$61
Santos FC leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+463.2%+$64.84
Spread: CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza (-2.5)backed CA Boca Juniors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+561.6%+$84.22
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick12cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Dinamo City vs. Páfos FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Getafe CF leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Getafe CF vs. FK Partizan Beograd: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Exact Score: Panathinaikós AO 2 - 1 FC Hradec Králové?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+449.5%+$62.92
Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)backed Panathinaikós AO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.99
FC Drita vs. Tre Fiori FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
FK Velež Mostar vs. FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
FK Jablonec vs. NK Varaždin: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+634.3%+$119.21
FC Zimbru Chişinău leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will FK Velež Mostar vs. FC Milsami Orhei end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick7cpaid+194.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick7cpaid+563.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick12cpaid+91.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.52per pick8cpaid+943.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.47per pick33cpaid+754.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick7cpaid+335%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+2,084.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+144%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+168.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stockslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick9cpaid+1,493%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+71.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-48.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+482.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick6cpaid+478.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs South America Rejects (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Abacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+1,057.4%+$222.03
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie Alast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Torino FC vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed AC Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Metz vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$58.73
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$29.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+581.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+581.8%+$81.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine hits Moscow by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+88%+$13.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Texas make the College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$39.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.